TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x59ee…d4e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Boxing, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 52 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST6320.6%13 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+528.8%+$116.33
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.09
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$38.92
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+437.8%+$123.02
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$33.26
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+233.4%+$95.68
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+67.7%+$36.2
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+89.1%+$17.82
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+156.4%+$24.4
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$35.8
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+177.8%+$32
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+40.4%+$11.5
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+183%+$58.2
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$86
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+132.6%+$22.8
All 20 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-78.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$292.05
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Farmers Insurance Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.7%+$14.19
All 15 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$26.49
Spread: Ohio State (-11.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17.7
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+205%+$161.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$17.97
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+32.2%+$6.45
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-61.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+39.2%+$8.61
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.6%+$20.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.