TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Farmers Insurance Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,343
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,343 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1e6…1dc1backed No9c90,000$7,650 inLost-$7,650540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6f…72f2backed Yes64c1,563$1,000 inWon+$562.52227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No29c981.83$285 inLost-$285.4370%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes17c891.18$150 inWon+$741.18355.7%2 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-70.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No38c456.64$172 inLost-$172.425044%22 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked No10c420$43 inLost-$42.921010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-78.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca58…151fbacked No48c336.31$162 inLost-$162.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes32c300$97 inWon+$20310850%54 W · 54 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes71c244.77$175 inWon+$70.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+106.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No18c195.13$34 inLost-$34.19560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd270…53f1backed Yes61c150$92 inWon+$58.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed No10c106.12$11 inLost-$10.61425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes63c91$57 inWon+$33.674955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3576…09debacked No25c83.29$21 inLost-$20.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec90…f624backed Yes16c75$12 inWon+$631100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No71c64.54$46 inLost-$46.041662.5%10 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick75cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68a9…eff9backed Yes61c61.8$38 inWon+$24.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-72.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4996…e38bbacked Yes64c47.03$30 inWon+$17.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No45c42.55$19 inLost-$19.117062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f77…f147backed Yes63c41.88$27 inWon+$15.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ee…d4e3backed Yes64c39.19$25 inWon+$14.191513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-78.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked No62c35$22 inLost-$21.72669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1597…f215backed No39c34.41$13 inLost-$13.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0280…c5b4backed Yes65c32.7$21 inWon+$11.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d0…eb6ebacked Yes64c31.23$20 inWon+$11.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes39c28.08$11 inWon+$17.242953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes64c20$13 inWon+$7.25565.5%36 W · 19 L+10.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+123.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.