Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a581618560f6a6d3691f82989c6f55f5f9aa879e3ac90b5efa37ea64bae9386
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 4c | 3,609$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes | 67c | 1,900$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.48 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…d820backed Yes | 4c | 1,669$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 47c | 1,569$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.5 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 20c | 1,292$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.7 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…ae29backed Yes | 27c | 1,164$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.88 | 171 | 28.7%49 W · 122 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,146$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.65 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 1c | 923.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde54…444dbacked Yes | 29c | 893.14$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…ab7dbacked Yes | 33c | 855.85$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 32c | 732.37$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.76 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 29c | 621.62$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.86 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…0693backed Yes | 2c | 621.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19c…0b8dbacked Yes | 76c | 560.75$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…9ec1backed Yes | 39c | 554.74$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.16 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e9…4f6cbacked Yes | 28c | 552.91$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.81 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 63c | 526.7$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.51 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…9baebacked Yes | 53c | 495.32$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 33c | 495.21$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.42 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…eb86backed No | 71c | 479.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 18c | 472.53$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 60c | 460.19$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.08 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…6d60backed Yes | 58c | 442.27$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.23 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…4dbbbacked No | 67c | 441.27$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed Yes | 36c | 382.04$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.37 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 40c | 370.27$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 34c | 269.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…7d82backed Yes | 37c | 269.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…4373backed Yes | 40c | 252.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…26b9backed No | 63c | 252.34$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff9…0446backed No | 62c | 249.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…e3a2backed Yes | 38c | 236.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 144 | 20.8%30 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…529ebacked Yes | 11c | 189$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…f163backed No | 59c | 182.67$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed No | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +53%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…1a14backed Yes | 30c | 171.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 72c | 154.28$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 56c | 151.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e4…9b0dbacked Yes | 51c | 150.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…5392backed Yes | 34c | 145.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…d8a0backed No | 63c | 144.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 32c | 141.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3f…1881backed Yes | 23c | 140.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c8…698abacked No | 39c | 140$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…6471backed No | 72c | 139.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…4811backed Yes | 38c | 132.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d82…ed61backed No | 54c | 129.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Yes | 45c | 113.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 47c | 106.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x833b…d4bbbacked Yes | 41c | 101.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 29c | 98.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…e5d1backed Yes | 44c | 91.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…4af7backed Yes | 64c | 90$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fba…8a7dbacked No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…14c0backed No | 52c | 88.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…90e3backed Yes | 45c | 88.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 45c | 88.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 63c | 87.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…af0bbacked Yes | 56c | 85.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c5…8bd3backed Yes | 55c | 76.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…2a9abacked No | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…2f90backed Yes | 21c | 68.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…b63bbacked No | 73c | 68.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…3885backed No | 63c | 64.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked No | 59c | 64.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +19.1wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa90a…da95backed No | 55c | 63.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…059bbacked No | 69c | 62.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…e255backed No | 66c | 60.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…14f5backed No | 53c | 57.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…d306backed Yes | 19c | 57.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 71c | 57.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9f…0fc9backed No | 55c | 56.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebcb…4705backed Yes | 40c | 50.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…a55cbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78c9…1078backed Yes | 57c | 49.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…a297backed Yes | 42c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…741bbacked Yes | 65c | 46.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…2a59backed Yes | 48c | 41.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09cc…421abacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…e48fbacked No | 49c | 38.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…1f89backed No | 67c | 36.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…316abacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…767bbacked Yes | 56c | 35.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24d…2ec0backed No | 67c | 35.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…0001backed No | 60c | 33.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0985…e582backed No | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…f8e1backed Yes | 60c | 31.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…d4e3backed No | 72c | 30.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…bb12backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b8…9c0ebacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…a843backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988a…e52fbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…612abacked No | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…937fbacked Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…b28dbacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.