Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbead3b34178f7bb333bc05669052be8e30df351b6d8861678fd601e9e9ada30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 4,825$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…2c5ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,488$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…90e3backed Yes | 35c | 1,638$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 10c | 1,360$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed Yes | 30c | 986.55$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…874dbacked Yes | 42c | 933.49$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 41c | 711.56$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.28 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…054bbacked Yes | 17c | 687.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 15c | 619.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed No | 67c | 619.05$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…172cbacked No | 62c | 609.97$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.96 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…ae29backed Yes | 47c | 599.95$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.81 | 171 | 28.7%49 W · 122 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 43c | 578.77$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 43c | 459.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.09 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…55acbacked No | 63c | 433.42$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 44c | 317.46$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.98 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked Yes | 45c | 294$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed No | 73c | 291.25$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 26c | 273.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…e255backed No | 60c | 267.24$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…2f7bbacked No | 55c | 262$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 27c | 258.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 44c | 229.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 61c | 213.2$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…2f90backed Yes | 19c | 199.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f20…1855backed No | 71c | 174.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 13c | 174.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…4373backed No | 57c | 174.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…942dbacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed No | 65c | 170$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +53%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…f622backed Yes | 37c | 168.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 162$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…e442backed No | 56c | 152$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 79c | 148.85$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…44ffbacked Yes | 51c | 141$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…0fd1backed No | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e23…ff24backed No | 62c | 138.55$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…03a6backed Yes | 42c | 131.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.2wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed No | 49c | 122.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a76…3022backed No | 60c | 119.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46b…55f0backed No | 60c | 117.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed No | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…bb12backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09cc…421abacked No | 63c | 99.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9f…0fc9backed No | 53c | 94.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…14c0backed No | 47c | 91.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 23c | 87.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…aa3cbacked Yes | 44c | 84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…2a9abacked No | 53c | 82.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x290c…8045backed No | 48c | 81.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a4…474ebacked No | 58c | 81.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…43cdbacked No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 55c | 79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 55c | 75.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…9e03backed No | 61c | 74.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…a55cbacked No | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…68b9backed Yes | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…6232backed Yes | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…8c3ebacked No | 56c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d82…ed61backed No | 78c | 63.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…8046backed No | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…eb86backed No | 74c | 60.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…dab5backed Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…14f5backed No | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4e…eda6backed Yes | 47c | 57.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…2fb3backed No | 71c | 56.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.5wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…adafbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f7…8e4ebacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…44d7backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Yes | 40c | 49.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…87d7backed No | 56c | 49.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…4e2cbacked No | 64c | 47.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…1dcfbacked Yes | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…5ba0backed No | 53c | 46.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec88…2c91backed Yes | 45c | 46.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…a62dbacked No | 66c | 45.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 52c | 45.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…1f89backed No | 56c | 45.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…4b34backed Yes | 39c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed No | 62c | 43.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f94…ce11backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…231bbacked No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +64%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…316abacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…5c6bbacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa90a…da95backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e7…9281backed Yes | 38c | 39.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbb…69bcbacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…73b3backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed No | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…0001backed No | 56c | 35.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2aa…5980backed No | 66c | 35.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…c945backed Yes | 58c | 34.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0985…e582backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…5748backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.