Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9f844b006e644ed803aa0473a16ea4c5d60404ff12f7c4f86d97435fa4b8dfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 79c | 3,386$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.35 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 20c | 2,000$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 2c | 1,642$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…90e3backed Yes | 35c | 1,337$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…9115backed No | 76c | 1,312$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed No | 70c | 1,264$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.9 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 25c | 971.32$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.35 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c69…d906backed Yes | 2c | 764.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…874dbacked Yes | 44c | 721.77$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…ae29backed Yes | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 171 | 28.7%49 W · 122 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…c67bbacked Yes | 12c | 418.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 53c | 396.26$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.24 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 25c | 373.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 42c | 357.64$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…bb12backed Yes | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 25c | 342.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…7d82backed Yes | 35c | 307.09$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 70c | 286.84$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.34 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876e…e2ffbacked Yes | 15c | 249$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 27c | 196.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed No | 64c | 185$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +53%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 71c | 184.35$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 184.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 23c | 180.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…4373backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…054bbacked Yes | 29c | 168.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…dab5backed Yes | 26c | 164$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 17c | 141.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb05…9c30backed No | 73c | 128.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 18c | 127.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…14c0backed No | 49c | 122.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 120.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…bef1backed No | 59c | 116.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed Yes | 12c | 115.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 53c | 113.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…2f90backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…172cbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3d47backed No | 55c | 95.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…43cdbacked No | 54c | 89.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fba…8a7dbacked No | 59c | 85.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…e255backed No | 62c | 84.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9f…0fc9backed No | 56c | 79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 20c | 77.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…8046backed No | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 28c | 66.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f0…0cb6backed No | 75c | 66.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed No | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…c4ffbacked Yes | 33c | 61.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09cc…421abacked No | 61c | 60.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…85b7backed No | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…3885backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…8332backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…d93ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…5ba0backed No | 53c | 46.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…2a59backed No | 59c | 45.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed No | 67c | 41.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed No | 53c | 41.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…231bbacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +64%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…316abacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…0001backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…14f5backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0985…e582backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730f…b330backed No | 55c | 34.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…1f89backed No | 56c | 34.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…a14abacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…e51ebacked No | 69c | 29.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de3…bf66backed No | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…2af6backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 20.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7957…ed88backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecca…6a15backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…0283backed No | 74c | 19.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd135…a903backed No | 80c | 18.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…ee2fbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.