Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5710cb0a3c510a8368301a4b653967d8e94ca0c4cbba65f57b323daf88497abb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 57c | 3,346$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.67 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…c601backed Yes | 4c | 2,380$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 28c | 1,771$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 65c | 1,554$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.75 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…937fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,132$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.61 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,100$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…bb12backed Yes | 24c | 951.77$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.58 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…94e9backed Yes | 2c | 884.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 8c | 854.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 42c | 720.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 44c | 700$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 39c | 599.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 38c | 570.93$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.67 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 551.48$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.57 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd486…2287backed Yes | 63c | 522.76$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…ab31backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…9d86backed Yes | 45c | 441.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c99…317cbacked No | 66c | 416.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 26c | 390.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 37c | 300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…5c5cbacked No | 60c | 270$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2017…d58fbacked Yes | 39c | 230$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…204abacked No | 64c | 218.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 7c | 218.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…9469backed Yes | 44c | 215$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 9c | 211.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 50c | 207.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.9 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed Yes | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…a6f2backed No | 79c | 191.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 36c | 184.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…c9cdbacked No | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…60b4backed Yes | 47c | 173.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…3239backed No | 63c | 157.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…7495backed No | 65c | 154.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…812dbacked No | 66c | 152.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…0693backed Yes | 11c | 149.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…02a9backed Yes | 40c | 148.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e81…dbccbacked No | 68c | 146.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 145.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…8ad8backed No | 74c | 135.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 39c | 130.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1824…571abacked No | 63c | 127.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…6d7ebacked No | 64c | 122.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d02…f9dabacked Yes | 42c | 112.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…7820backed No | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 33c | 109.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…dec0backed No | 58c | 96.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…1291backed No | 53c | 91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…d16dbacked Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb631…8a87backed No | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…ef77backed No | 63c | 79.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa725…996ebacked Yes | 52c | 77.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…490fbacked No | 67c | 74.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed Yes | 15c | 73.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f23…bd87backed Yes | 37c | 70.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 37c | 66.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7918…f39fbacked No | 62c | 64.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5934…4799backed No | 42c | 61.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb1…ae4abacked Yes | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 34c | 54.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…b53cbacked No | 62c | 51.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b6…00dfbacked Yes | 40c | 49.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…afb1backed Yes | 41c | 49.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af7…7e34backed No | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…af22backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +64%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0aa…612cbacked Yes | 60c | 45.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…1678backed Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf551…90ddbacked Yes | 60c | 44.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…3a28backed Yes | 48c | 43.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 58c | 42.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.9wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 45c | 42.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 59c | 40.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…3f52backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c727backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…8b1cbacked Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…9d86backed Yes | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 37c | 37.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc985…4b09backed Yes | 39c | 35.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…4716backed Yes | 41c | 34.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc9…1ec7backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…6c5dbacked Yes | 34c | 33.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…d753backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d63…348dbacked No | 63c | 31.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c53…c46bbacked No | 67c | 31.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…90c7backed No | 65c | 30.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7a…d37ebacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4854…0887backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7f…d263backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…29bdbacked Yes | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17dc…7306backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…4ae5backed Yes | 40c | 29.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.