Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71382e182633a43207181cd0cf7e63862c3ed2f78dd3b0a88194fb2bd531533f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 66c | 8,533$5,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.88 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 63c | 3,493$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.42 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 46c | 3,347$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.48 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 45c | 2,130$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.79 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…e543backed Yes | 17c | 1,844$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 27c | 1,683$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.43 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 48c | 1,550$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…b081backed Yes | 28c | 1,402$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 2c | 1,199$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 7c | 1,154$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 22c | 1,046$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 62c | 1,007$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.1 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked No | 76c | 994$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.5 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…9d86backed Yes | 2c | 932.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…dc6abacked Yes | 6c | 906$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 9c | 830.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd11e…699fbacked Yes | 21c | 822.2$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +78%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…a9debacked Yes | 62c | 745.72$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…385dbacked No | 69c | 723.83$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.59 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 32c | 638.73$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.51 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 62c | 600$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 42c | 600$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…d37cbacked Yes | 9c | 579.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 27c | 537.55$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed No | 43c | 532.95$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d9…11b2backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 14c | 465.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 7c | 427.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.03 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +11.8wins | +0.38per pick | 14cpaid | +350.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f21dbacked No | 50c | 399.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 399.98$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked Yes | 9c | 391.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…283abacked No | 35c | 370$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 18c | 299.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c07…8c2bbacked Yes | 35c | 282.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 74c | 267.58$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…7495backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b0…0f82backed Yes | 51c | 259.74$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…8ccbbacked Yes | 11c | 252.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 16c | 251$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…27d0backed Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…af7fbacked Yes | 9c | 239$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18b9…a226backed Yes | 7c | 231.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9350…25d1backed No | 43c | 231.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed No | 54c | 223.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 75c | 220.66$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…937fbacked No | 29c | 210.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.07 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…0693backed Yes | 18c | 201.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 55c | 200.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 49c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 53c | 199.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…2f90backed No | 43c | 192.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a718backed No | 39c | 192.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc850…a960backed No | 53c | 189.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 10c | 187.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Yes | 30c | 177.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 58c | 176.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…767bbacked Yes | 17c | 173.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked Yes | 28c | 153$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 26c | 151.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa09…cde0backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 28c | 151.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65bd…275dbacked No | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 30c | 146.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e2…9631backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…7e75backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…f1eabacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929b…ca77backed No | 72c | 138.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked No | 72c | 136$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 78c | 135.26$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce21…0b2abacked No | 76c | 131.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 130.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 80c | 125.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -14.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d7…e451backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 74c | 125$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…f622backed Yes | 17c | 119.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 66c | 115.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…0d8ebacked No | 41c | 114.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…4cc4backed Yes | 47c | 113$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…9ad6backed No | 34c | 108.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +10.0wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked No | 72c | 106$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9f…346fbacked No | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…e89ebacked Yes | 39c | 104.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc9…1ec7backed Yes | 31c | 97.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 37c | 94.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed Yes | 28c | 93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cc…0009backed Yes | 77c | 90.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…60b4backed Yes | 13c | 80.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3dc…ce0bbacked No | 51c | 78.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 20c | 76.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…44d7backed Yes | 56c | 74.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…ee93backed No | 53c | 63.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 25c | 59.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Yes | 21c | 59.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…1ee7backed No | 57c | 58.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7247…a3e4backed No | 68c | 53.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.