Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa32684716f312bc5befcafe043ed53ea51ccf9f4513101e4fa4cf61dbc771fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 56c | 3,596$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 1c | 3,135$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 2,992$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…22e4backed No | 77c | 2,606$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…b1e4backed Yes | 1c | 2,137$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 43c | 2,005$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.45 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 50c | 1,900$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.47 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…56aebacked Yes | 1c | 1,663$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…b000backed Yes | 7c | 1,337$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 45c | 1,297$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.45 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…283abacked Yes | 61c | 896.24$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.95 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 749.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfc…ee99backed No | 42c | 731.41$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 15c | 718.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.71 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 67c | 644.3$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.47 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed No | 73c | 602.91$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.52 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5e…27debacked Yes | 4c | 522.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Yes | 3c | 450$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 446.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 433.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…5f58backed Yes | 40c | 402.62$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed Yes | 62c | 349.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d15…156abacked Yes | 6c | 329.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…0e5abacked No | 80c | 326.49$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked No | 34c | 300$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 37c | 271.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 47c | 232.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 6c | 229.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 197 | 6.6%13 W · 184 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 29c | 201.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.26 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…4085backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8260…5bdebacked Yes | 5c | 199.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…8d6bbacked Yes | 78c | 191.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 44c | 178.09$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 56c | 159.91$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…2886backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…123bbacked Yes | 39c | 150.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…27cbbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 56c | 143.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc850…a960backed No | 35c | 142.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 76c | 142.34$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a0…17edbacked Yes | 75c | 141.95$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed No | 23c | 140.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.21 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc9…1ec7backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…b5fcbacked Yes | 49c | 137.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…40e0backed Yes | 73c | 136.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…ef84backed No | 67c | 132.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…fc2dbacked No | 46c | 127.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 74c | 125.19$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…2552backed No | 19c | 122.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…3790backed No | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 63c | 114$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed No | 32c | 113.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 46c | 110.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 70c | 105.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 103.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…cfd9backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…6f83backed Yes | 55c | 99.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…646ebacked No | 25c | 98.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +292.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 41c | 95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…91aabacked No | 27c | 92.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x876e…e2ffbacked No | 39c | 86.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…bbeebacked No | 36c | 83.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…26b5backed Yes | 69c | 72.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…3585backed No | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 52c | 71.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked No | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 94 | 10.6%10 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 24c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed No | 29c | 69.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…3058backed No | 29c | 69.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…951abacked No | 29c | 68.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 15cpaid | +1,986.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b4…4fb7backed Yes | 37c | 67.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…03a6backed Yes | 74c | 66.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.2wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 46c | 65.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…8c23backed No | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…e8aebacked Yes | 63c | 63.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac94…8d12backed No | 69c | 63.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 25c | 62.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a07…0d37backed No | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed No | 31c | 61.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…f9b7backed No | 37c | 60.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +198%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…1adfbacked No | 78c | 59.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…254ebacked No | 27c | 55.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…29fdbacked No | 38c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ec…e516backed No | 36c | 54.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…af22backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +64%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 36c | 53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…d5bebacked No | 65c | 50.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b2…6e79backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked Yes | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.8wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…9518backed Yes | 40c | 49.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…9469backed No | 32c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 68c | 46.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4221…7364backed Yes | 40c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb957…b8acbacked No | 38c | 45.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.39per pick | 42cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…a04dbacked No | 28c | 44.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 24c | 44.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c5…a3fcbacked No | 69c | 44.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.