TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24a5…ab7d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: CS2, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 61 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$6.71
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$27.77
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$15.74
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$22.97
Spread: Austria (-1.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.94
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$30.57
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$41.9
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.29
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$28.13
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$18.76
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Saudi Arabia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.25
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.95
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$7.62
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$10.88
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.63
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2777.8%21 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+34.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.69
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.52
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$5.44
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$43.31
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$17.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+121.8%+$16.59
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$3.78
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$4.76
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+87%+$10.19
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$6.58
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.64
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$11.83
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$23.85
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$13.4
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$7.35
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$7.23
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$70.33
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$29.29
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$15.39
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.88
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+60%+$17.96
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.34
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$47.25
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40.81
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$65.37
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$59.35
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$45.99
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$927Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+146.9%+$1,361.42
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$135.49
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+28.3%+$42.46
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,006.99
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13.52
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+34.7%+$16.47
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+81.3%+$79.71
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.49
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19.99
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.99
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.72
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.03
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$24.92
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.99
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$12.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.04
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+207.3%+$34.41
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$37.7
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12.16
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$13.96
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$285.9
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$43.87
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grass Court Championships: Clara Tauson vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Nottingham Open: McCartney Kessler vs Katie Volynetsbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Grass Court Championships: Magdalena Frech vs Eva Lysbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$6
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Harriet Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.6
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$16.19
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick66cpaid-69.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.23
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.77
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+32.1%+$11.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+851.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+1,802.8%+$401.32
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$33.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+50.6%+$5.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+33.4%+$6.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$33.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.