MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa83aaa11f3e7153604f9ebe7aa36377670bc889fa6a23a34ef598066c98502af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Detroit Tigers, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $479,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $480,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Houston Astros | 51c | 204,078$103,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,246.42 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 41,667$21,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 38,894$19,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,058 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Detroit Tigers | 18c | 35,362$6,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300.97 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 33,387$15,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,585.51 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…5586backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 23,370$11,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,595.7 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 57c | 20,156$11,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,642.27 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 19,498$9,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,855.86 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 73c | 13,723$10,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.41 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Detroit Tigers | 10c | 11,365$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.06 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 9,580$4,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.6 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 8,699$3,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,667.97 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 7,354$3,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.17 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 7,307$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.45 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 6,095$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.63 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Houston Astros | 52c | 5,208$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 5,206$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.75 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 30c | 5,125$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.13 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 4,856$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.44 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 4,704$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.79 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 4,614$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Houston Astros | 52c | 4,167$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 50c | 3,989$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.1 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa986…b4b5backed Houston Astros | 51c | 3,867$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 3,498$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.62 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Houston Astros | 52c | 3,125$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Houston Astros | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 2,928$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.55 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 2,566$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.56 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 63c | 2,479$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.69 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…9352backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Detroit Tigers | 34c | 1,589$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 1,588$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.22 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 1,242$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.58 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Houston Astros | 51c | 1,207$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.32 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 1,195$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.34 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 71c | 1,162$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.04 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 1,110$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.35 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Detroit Tigers | 21c | 999.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.84 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Detroit Tigers | 23c | 960.03$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.5 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 870$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.1 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Detroit Tigers | 23c | 833.3$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.66 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Detroit Tigers | 15c | 738.7$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Detroit Tigers | 31c | 738.43$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.45 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 714$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 699.08$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.42 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Houston Astros | 74c | 690.66$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.77 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 679.98$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.19 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Houston Astros | 74c | 670.73$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.39 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Houston Astros | 74c | 612.07$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.4 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Houston Astros | 54c | 601.89$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.89 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 599.51$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.77 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 561.14$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.47 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 513.43$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.58 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 501.17$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.59 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Detroit Tigers | 23c | 500$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Detroit Tigers | 31c | 485.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 439.82$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.57 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Detroit Tigers | 28c | 426.4$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Detroit Tigers | 31c | 420.81$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Houston Astros | 73c | 406.83$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.61 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…6e31backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…e130backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Detroit Tigers | 19c | 366.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Detroit Tigers | 9c | 363.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 354$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Houston Astros | 73c | 352.01$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 321$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.29 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 311.31$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.77 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 297.88$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Houston Astros | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 286$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 78c | 282.43$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.