NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86a7e4f8346aeb92cf7cd38240a290ee10889130ae0df13f3427392eb698053
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,216,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,476,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,216,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 71c | 191,543$136,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,055.28 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…1795backed Timberwolves | 43c | 159,999$69,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,499.72 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Warriors | 62c | 128,701$79,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,980.37 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Warriors | 56c | 123,819$69,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,277.82 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 60c | 111,242$66,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,702.96 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Warriors | 43c | 107,080$45,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,707 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Warriors | 54c | 72,495$39,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,149.23 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 42c | 64,546$27,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,494.47 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 62,556$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,555.85 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Warriors | 63c | 60,930$38,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,385.79 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 58c | 56,699$32,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,770.28 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 53c | 51,370$27,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,318.26 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Warriors | 60c | 48,534$29,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,120.1 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 62c | 47,213$29,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,055.88 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 53c | 38,445$20,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,375.85 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Timberwolves | 39c | 38,384$15,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,359.52 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Timberwolves | 39c | 35,645$13,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,849.47 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 44c | 34,477$15,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,256.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 32,362$12,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,013.65 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Warriors | 61c | 31,007$18,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,770.65 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Timberwolves | 46c | 29,288$13,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,718.01 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Timberwolves | 40c | 29,153$11,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,598.86 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Timberwolves | 37c | 27,919$10,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,675.14 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Timberwolves | 39c | 26,421$10,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,224.17 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Timberwolves | 46c | 23,873$11,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,787.6 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors | 57c | 22,980$13,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,202.37 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Warriors | 60c | 22,954$13,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,772.55 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2fd7backed Warriors | 63c | 22,000$13,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,919.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 38c | 20,960$7,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,995.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Timberwolves | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Warriors | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Warriors | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Timberwolves | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,399.95 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Warriors | 63c | 19,999$12,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,546.91 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Warriors | 4c | 19,966$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.81 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Warriors | 64c | 19,957$12,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,820.93 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 19,108$7,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,038.11 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Timberwolves | 36c | 18,832$6,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,052.17 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Timberwolves | 44c | 18,145$8,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,131.45 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Warriors | 38c | 18,000$6,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,904.98 | 168 | 64.3%108 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Warriors | 63c | 17,165$10,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,736.84 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 47c | 16,908$7,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,961 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Warriors | 62c | 16,129$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 38c | 15,791$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,789.95 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 46c | 14,959$6,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,101.36 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Warriors | 63c | 14,782$9,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,385.08 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Warriors | 13c | 14,611$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.79 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 39c | 14,058$5,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,548.75 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 38c | 13,716$5,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,491.49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Warriors | 28c | 13,673$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Timberwolves | 37c | 13,363$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,353.61 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 13,167$5,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,457.61 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Timberwolves | 40c | 12,751$5,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,625.19 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Warriors | 23c | 12,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.01 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Timberwolves | 62c | 11,247$6,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.64 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Timberwolves | 42c | 11,000$4,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,329.2 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…cde8backed Warriors | 0c | 10,730$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Warriors | 56c | 10,625$5,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,963.63 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 58c | 10,405$6,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,025.12 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Warriors | 55c | 10,362$5,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,698.83 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Warriors | 59c | 10,268$6,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,105.78 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Warriors | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 9,742$3,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,764.63 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 42c | 9,610$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,611.1 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Warriors | 63c | 9,524$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Warriors | 49c | 9,373$4,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,589.08 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…1665backed Timberwolves | 38c | 9,216$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,715.92 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 53c | 9,080$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.43 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 1c | 8,957$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Timberwolves | 36c | 8,687$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,526.36 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Timberwolves | 40c | 8,636$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,181.59 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Timberwolves | 37c | 8,617$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440.49 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Warriors | 58c | 8,568$5,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.41 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Warriors | 20c | 8,081$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.5 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Timberwolves | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Warriors | 61c | 7,500$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.91 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Warriors | 70c | 7,130$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Warriors | 31c | 7,082$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.55 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Warriors | 44c | 7,000$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.99 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Timberwolves | 71c | 6,802$4,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.06 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Warriors | 61c | 6,500$3,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Warriors | 63c | 6,418$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020.41 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5835…91e3backed Warriors | 69c | 6,178$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Warriors | 58c | 6,139$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.27 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa806…c0fdbacked Warriors | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Timberwolves | 46c | 5,797$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.38 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Timberwolves | 37c | 5,500$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.98 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Warriors | 59c | 5,438$3,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.7 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa02…d9ebbacked Warriors | 61c | 5,400$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Timberwolves | 33c | 5,239$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.87 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adc…2b52backed Timberwolves | 45c | 5,183$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917f…d518backed Warriors | 54c | 5,133$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Warriors | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 13c | 4,992$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.7 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb9…52b2backed Warriors | 54c | 4,863$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…efa2backed Timberwolves | 45c | 4,813$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…a9a6backed Timberwolves | 41c | 4,607$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8015…fc83backed Warriors | 59c | 4,599$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-0.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.