NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fa7ec442ea3667facd38c320bd41b8bbee728a6550aba7590045ff3687f010b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Warriors, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Timberwolves | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 50c | 28,597$14,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,343.63 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 51c | 13,407$6,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,834.71 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…1795backed Timberwolves | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Warriors | 51c | 8,577$4,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,416.2 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 51c | 7,670$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,911.69 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 6,872$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.97 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Timberwolves | 60c | 5,568$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.66 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Warriors | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e79…29a7backed Timberwolves | 52c | 4,267$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 41c | 3,759$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 3,543$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.86 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Warriors | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Warriors | 52c | 2,700$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,490$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.91 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Warriors | 47c | 1,843$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.13 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,836$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.36 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 56c | 1,831$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.18 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,822$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.22 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,760$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,733$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.34 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 61c | 1,641$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.2 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,582$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.25 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Warriors | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 42c | 1,349$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.37 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…f41ebacked Warriors | 33c | 1,138$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Warriors | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Timberwolves | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 720.04$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 47c | 669.59$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 49c | 664.41$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.85 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 48c | 653.13$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.86 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Warriors | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Timberwolves | 53c | 578.96$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.08 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Warriors | 41c | 547.96$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.8 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Timberwolves | 56c | 520.81$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Timberwolves | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Warriors | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 470$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.3 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 432.19$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.19 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Timberwolves | 57c | 399.88$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Warriors | 42c | 344.46$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.82 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 41c | 342.89$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 339.85$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.83 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 51c | 276.7$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.73 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ac…4a3cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 275$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…9580backed Timberwolves | 57c | 250$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…6875backed Warriors | 53c | 236.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Warriors | 52c | 206$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Timberwolves | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Warriors | 51c | 197.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Warriors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 46c | 184.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Timberwolves | 48c | 168$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…99f0backed Warriors | 32c | 163.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…4dafbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 150.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Warriors | 46c | 150.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Warriors | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Timberwolves | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Warriors | 44c | 133.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Warriors | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Timberwolves | 53c | 115.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Timberwolves | 49c | 106$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Warriors | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Timberwolves | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Timberwolves | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 57c | 99.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Timberwolves | 61c | 99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Warriors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Timberwolves | 53c | 98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Warriors | 42c | 95.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Timberwolves | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 58cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Timberwolves | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…7e95backed Timberwolves | 52c | 76.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 74.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90cb…ae5fbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 61.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Warriors | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Warriors | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Warriors | 51c | 59.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Warriors | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Timberwolves | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Timberwolves | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Timberwolves | 51c | 50.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Warriors | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Timberwolves | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Warriors | 42c | 49.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Timberwolves | 61c | 49.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-0.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. WarriorsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.