NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x720536fd86f24ee90f24e2d11672a2a1b7d61a1b6c2670ef533ada1316d98df1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 50c | 28,670$14,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,334.87 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae6…597abacked Over | 50c | 13,898$6,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,949 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…be5bbacked Over | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…7d21backed Over | 50c | 4,722$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 50c | 4,454$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 3,522$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.78 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 2,886$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 2,461$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.47 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 50c | 931.67$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.83 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 50c | 843$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.5 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Under | 52c | 666.31$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.48 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 53c | 647.53$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.34 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 49c | 638.92$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.07 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Under | 46c | 598.85$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.97 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…498abacked Over | 50c | 570$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 48c | 566.31$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.48 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 45c | 460$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Under | 50c | 345.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Over | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 307$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 295$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Under | 51c | 225$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 45c | 167$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 148.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5866backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…a23cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 49c | 87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 46c | 50.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Over | 51c | 47.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Over | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…1161backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…8260backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…18e9backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 50c | 28.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -9.8wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec1…f195backed Under | 51c | 19.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…eb14backed Under | 52c | 19.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 52c | 19.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-0.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. WarriorsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.