MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7d96ebe0574b562546e770f808049848c61af41b19bfdcd63ae8036b3965b1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Arizona Diamondbacks, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 28,285$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 23,333$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,733.18 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 21,106$9,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,189.4 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 18,602$9,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,585.52 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 16,749$11,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,633.52 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 14,067$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 11,030$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.98 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 8,237$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 6,403$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.47 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…0561backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 5,856$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 0c | 5,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 5,192$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.04 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 4,936$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.47 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 4,444$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.24 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 4,004$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.48 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 3,650$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.28 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 3,629$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.39 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 3,628$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 3,496$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.04 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 3,236$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.84 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 3,046$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.94 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,967$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 2,960$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.17 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,766$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.24 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 2,563$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.32 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 2,450$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,362$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.59 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 2,270$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.12 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 2,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…e14fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 2c | 2,070$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,000$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.47 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0099…b070backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 1,933$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.68 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,886$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,877$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.38 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 1,761$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.94 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,680$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.93 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,558$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.13 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.96 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,143$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,133$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.85 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 999.96$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 917$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.84 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 814.91$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.46 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 788$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.88 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 728.62$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.62 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 705.38$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.64 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 681.21$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.86 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 679.24$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 604$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.04 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 540$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.2 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 532$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.96 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 524$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 454.69$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.89 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 408.15$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 399.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 397.75$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.9 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 385$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 76c | 380.46$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.05 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 374.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 362.94$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.94 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 346.43$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.82 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 334.49$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.49 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 325$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 317$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 312.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 306$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.48 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 302.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.45 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 284.25$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.97 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 270$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 246.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 245$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 244$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 242.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 237.37$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 225.25$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 211.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.