NBA · resolved market
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5afeea2584165f0bab7843452d49ff7b36f72808847feb75fab830e70943c5d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $745,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $824,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $745,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 645 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb915…8da5backed No | 50c | 142,265$70,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,643.69 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 52c | 59,594$30,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,606 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 50c | 50,831$25,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,263.56 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 33,074$16,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,432.32 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 20,928$11,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,178.32 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 50c | 19,999$10,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,961.47 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked No | 42c | 16,043$6,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,725.13 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 36c | 15,049$5,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,585.21 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…f52abacked No | 78c | 15,027$11,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,771.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…e539backed Yes | 51c | 13,490$6,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,610.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 46c | 12,785$5,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,855.62 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 51c | 12,655$6,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,476.46 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes | 51c | 11,474$5,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,622.32 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 46c | 10,746$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,854 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85f8…bba3backed Yes | 49c | 10,508$5,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,391.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…cbe8backed Yes | 50c | 9,764$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882.02 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 50c | 9,449$4,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,757.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 51c | 9,403$4,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,579.51 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 52c | 9,356$4,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.67 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…fe14backed Yes | 64c | 7,928$5,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 49c | 7,445$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 59c | 7,408$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.34 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 44c | 7,323$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 53c | 7,019$3,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,736.45 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 50c | 6,871$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.01 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Yes | 47c | 6,835$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.95 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked Yes | 46c | 6,683$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,592.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 54c | 6,674$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.94 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 48c | 6,541$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 50c | 6,310$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.98 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe444…fa95backed Yes | 47c | 5,878$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.9 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Yes | 47c | 5,621$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.11 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…0091backed No | 68c | 5,449$3,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,694.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…05cbbacked Yes | 47c | 5,308$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e94…7f1ebacked Yes | 57c | 5,210$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.3 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683d…43b4backed No | 53c | 5,061$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe4…5187backed Yes | 50c | 4,892$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 42c | 4,891$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.5 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 51c | 4,630$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.51 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…5cf7backed Yes | 50c | 4,409$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 49c | 4,111$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.77 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…16c6backed Yes | 57c | 4,089$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Yes | 48c | 4,087$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 54c | 4,042$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.61 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 52c | 4,033$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd1…ea75backed Yes | 50c | 4,027$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Yes | 50c | 4,010$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.28 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 22c | 3,928$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.48 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 52c | 3,911$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.07 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Yes | 45c | 3,865$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…4960backed Yes | 66c | 3,615$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Yes | 35c | 3,575$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Yes | 63c | 3,473$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.95 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 50c | 3,425$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.89 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…b05ebacked Yes | 48c | 3,382$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 49c | 3,246$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 34c | 3,232$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.24 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…0a52backed Yes | 49c | 3,193$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.1 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 28c | 3,144$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.25 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…2562backed Yes | 40c | 3,126$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Yes | 48c | 3,049$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.78 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes | 46c | 2,988$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.27 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…6ec8backed Yes | 34c | 2,899$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 37cpaid | +139.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…8016backed Yes | 19c | 2,856$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.45 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 45c | 2,733$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.27 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…6b3dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,723$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 43c | 2,592$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.37 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Yes | 47c | 2,566$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.32 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 64c | 2,529$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked No | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 37c | 2,466$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.94 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 51c | 2,444$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Yes | 51c | 2,248$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53bb…bae0backed Yes | 49c | 2,210$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Yes | 58c | 2,196$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.65 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…112dbacked Yes | 49c | 2,130$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x430f…5947backed Yes | 57c | 2,100$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbc…a07cbacked No | 68c | 2,072$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…89d9backed Yes | 47c | 2,065$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 68c | 1,961$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc419…a8b0backed Yes | 51c | 1,959$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 51c | 1,889$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.67 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…3b04backed Yes | 51c | 1,866$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.51 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,813$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.26 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,750$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.35 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4507…c780backed Yes | 51c | 1,699$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Yes | 60c | 1,667$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Yes | 53c | 1,663$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…56bfbacked Yes | 30c | 1,648$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 41c | 1,616$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a96…522bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,608$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed Yes | 54c | 1,591$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.56 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…0baebacked Yes | 52c | 1,544$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Yes | 47c | 1,542$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed No | 61c | 1,505$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.7 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 46c | 1,500$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcafb…23ccbacked Yes | 50c | 1,488$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Yes | 48c | 1,468$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.59 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will De'Aaron Fox win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Devin Vassell win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will James Harden win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jason Tatum win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Josh Hart win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Julian Champagnie win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Julius Randle win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Mikal Bridges win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Stephon Castle win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.