NBA · resolved market
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa46a02960f13a95000964478c96889499da31302a5307d886eb1846ab0c8dfbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $325,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Yes | 31c | 53,626$16,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,660.93 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 20,930$13,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,288.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 20c | 17,349$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.11 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Yes | 25c | 12,388$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.57 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x119e…2129backed Yes | 18c | 10,634$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…c3b7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 74c | 9,623$7,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.12 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 62c | 9,356$5,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,791.64 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 46c | 9,259$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277.48 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 16c | 7,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 70c | 6,867$4,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.82 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…c9afbacked Yes | 31c | 6,478$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…83cdbacked Yes | 31c | 6,372$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 72c | 6,357$4,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 70c | 6,151$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x921d…efb8backed Yes | 26c | 6,118$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 29c | 5,983$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.02 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 65c | 5,959$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.16 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 67c | 5,797$3,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.15 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 5,460$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.41 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…467abacked Yes | 32c | 5,178$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…8016backed No | 38c | 5,176$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.07 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…5a6fbacked No | 60c | 4,851$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed No | 69c | 4,667$3,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 45c | 4,106$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.29 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 1c | 3,855$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 19c | 3,796$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.22 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 59c | 2,701$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.83 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…56bfbacked Yes | 21c | 2,698$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…b0d9backed Yes | 65c | 2,467$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 2,410$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.59 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Yes | 21c | 2,278$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 79c | 2,273$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 2,117$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.44 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 68c | 2,095$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.31 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 77c | 2,070$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.25 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…03febacked Yes | 38c | 2,017$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 41c | 1,951$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb5…11babacked Yes | 33c | 1,778$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.09 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 71c | 1,762$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.83 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 16c | 1,737$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.24 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Yes | 36c | 1,622$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 27c | 1,513$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.57 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Yes | 17c | 1,494$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.19 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Yes | 17c | 1,430$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 1,368$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…55dabacked No | 40c | 1,349$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 30cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 67c | 1,340$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.12 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 76c | 1,334$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.42 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 74c | 1,327$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.58 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 16c | 1,283$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.78 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 1,232$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.91 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…bef4backed Yes | 27c | 1,204$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yes | 18c | 1,200$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940e…732ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,164$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da9…3ffabacked Yes | 18c | 1,080$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 63c | 992.12$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.66 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c5…7cfebacked Yes | 37c | 951.96$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Yes | 47c | 951$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.11 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6222…b3e8backed Yes | 33c | 918.57$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…d2dcbacked Yes | 22c | 918.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed Yes | 63c | 913$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.88 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 69c | 901.8$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.72 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef4…f703backed No | 54c | 899.98$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 55c | 874.8$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.88 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 36c | 798.62$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.9 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 63c | 791.26$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes | 52c | 772.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 48c | 749.94$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.46 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 718.17$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.22 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 23c | 713.29$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.1 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 73c | 711.07$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.03 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 76c | 698.59$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.13 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 69c | 689.95$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.85 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4004…c40bbacked No | 75c | 671.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 76c | 642.22$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.87 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 54c | 632.71$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…943bbacked Yes | 17c | 585.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…dbdcbacked Yes | 27c | 574.95$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.74 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Yes | 63c | 566.92$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 24c | 561.61$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a67…e339backed Yes | 62c | 559.68$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7880…1088backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 61c | 535$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.35 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 57c | 530.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f66…6d2dbacked Yes | 39c | 515.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2937…ad07backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.35 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Yes | 19c | 499.67$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 471 | 34.2%161 W · 310 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 78c | 473.46$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 66c | 451.78$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…bab3backed Yes | 47c | 429.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Yes | 63c | 425.65$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.75 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6ebbbacked Yes | 45c | 425.28$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Yes | 45c | 414.1$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.83 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 64c | 412.7$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.83 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Yes | 13c | 400$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…2372backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will De'Aaron Fox win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Devin Vassell win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes won
- Will James Harden win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jason Tatum win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Josh Hart win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Julian Champagnie win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Julius Randle win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Mikal Bridges win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Stephon Castle win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.