TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79c1…c3b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: AI, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category AI at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.58
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Jordan to score first vs. Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Jordan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$66.26
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.9
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34.52
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$72.05
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+475.7%+$285.39
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.83
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
All 21 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+308.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+308.9%+$46.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+83%+$75.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.