TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof Paper Rex, Team Vitality
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$565,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$649,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 480 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Paper Rex62c42,905$26,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,170.4952155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Team Vitality39c34,973$13,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,611.4117948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Paper Rex64c32,206$20,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,592.4311442.1%48 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Vitality39c20,700$8,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,110.8133153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Paper Rex60c18,888$11,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,555.224145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Paper Rex58c17,700$10,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,433.886643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Paper Rex62c17,246$10,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,637.591942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Vitality40c16,430$6,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,576.5712951.2%66 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Vitality38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70019046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Vitality36c14,967$5,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,410.8546326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Team Vitality12c12,625$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.52924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Team Vitality37c12,403$4,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,555.735242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Team Vitality37c10,000$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,659.9226738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Paper Rex60c9,963$5,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,009.872766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Vitality38c9,421$3,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,623.4826050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Paper Rex59c8,475$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,474.581662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Paper Rex62c8,422$5,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,234.63966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Team Vitality38c7,879$3,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,018.898145.7%37 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf651…c57fbacked Team Vitality25c7,599$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.091741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Team Vitality22c6,619$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.2232245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Team Vitality15c6,154$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93019847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Team Vitality38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9005655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Vitality40c4,925$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.5351749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team Vitality37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48024946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…b386backed Team Vitality40c3,752$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.34per pick38cpaid+140%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Paper Rex77c3,676$2,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.2793049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Paper Rex62c3,500$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.983243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Paper Rex61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.6915843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3247…9d26backed Team Vitality36c3,177$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Paper Rex67c3,089$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.065749.1%28 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6d7…5b28backed Team Vitality36c3,013$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Vitality28c2,953$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.7777744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex76c2,907$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.711,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Team Vitality35c2,875$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.1319655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Paper Rex64c2,813$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.534857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Vitality9c2,686$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.8768458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab50…5d0abacked Team Vitality36c2,596$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28b…d99dbacked Team Vitality36c2,516$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Vitality13c2,463$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.0474642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Team Vitality23c2,321$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.0437545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Vitality20c2,305$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.1524250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Paper Rex75c2,264$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.3332462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x70f5…e182backed Team Vitality36c2,143$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02e9…d23fbacked Paper Rex46c2,084$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Paper Rex75c2,035$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.91668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Team Vitality34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-65.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Team Vitality28c1,992$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.627241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Paper Rex64c1,919$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.6135142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Paper Rex63c1,896$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.0713759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb71d…d14bbacked Paper Rex54c1,834$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.01650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Team Vitality36c1,790$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.42729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed Team Vitality41c1,780$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.97812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed Team Vitality37c1,720$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.726848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Vitality36c1,650$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59441734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc4b…553bbacked Team Vitality54c1,647$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.911040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdcb…36c9backed Team Vitality42c1,634$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.472055%11 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+42.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Paper Rex63c1,633$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.218934.8%31 W · 58 L-11.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Vitality28c1,630$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.732047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Vitality26c1,627$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42153159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team Vitality22c1,604$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.8949255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Team Vitality20c1,599$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.9227947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Team Vitality36c1,589$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.092245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Paper Rex63c1,550$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.5554751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Team Vitality46c1,536$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.4823151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Team Vitality38c1,528$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.83253.1%17 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+57.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xafc5…2b1dbacked Paper Rex58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.941435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1952…3ba9backed Team Vitality14c1,406$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Team Vitality9c1,392$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6860022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7657…66ccbacked Paper Rex75c1,389$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.162576%19 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed Paper Rex59c1,350$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.481553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce60…f989backed Team Vitality26c1,319$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.761127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b55…076fbacked Team Vitality39c1,283$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.396137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Vitality23c1,249$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5965559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed Paper Rex71c1,229$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.376259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Team Vitality37c1,212$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.3611450%57 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Team Vitality20c1,178$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9414850.7%75 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Paper Rex62c1,177$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.845147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Paper Rex66c1,164$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.5419656.6%111 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Paper Rex57c1,150$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.4916639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Team Vitality15c1,126$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16640%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Paper Rex79c1,125$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.721,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Team Vitality35c1,118$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.093930.8%12 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Paper Rex66c1,111$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.7423447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c48…eba9backed Team Vitality35c1,097$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.377045.7%32 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…dbe3backed Paper Rex58c1,065$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.56887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+53.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Team Vitality42c1,047$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Paper Rex71c1,020$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.3578562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Paper Rex63c1,006$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.513455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ee…f8fabacked Team Vitality40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d3…586bbacked Paper Rex65c1,000$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3556250%31 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Paper Rex65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Paper Rex64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36039042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde8b…429dbacked Team Vitality33c999.99$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Vitality36c999.96$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9926450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Team Vitality47c948$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.5226650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Team Vitality38c887.96$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.4355152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Vitality31c883.02$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.51,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed Paper Rex62c872$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.361080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Team Vitality41c870.73$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3574040%16 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked Paper Rex60c869$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.510951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.