TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x20ee…f8fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$397.67
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$950
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+368.7%+$2,237.95
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,829.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+318.4%+$2,547.2
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$212.72
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$304.33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+87%+$87.04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$97.75
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$330.69
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$505.94
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090.65
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.55
US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 23 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.3
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$90.67
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+597.4%+$1,418.72
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+205.1%+$188.44
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.5
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$174.69
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+211.7%+$211.74
Valorant: All Gamers vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-71.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$283.67
Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$604.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.