Middle East · resolved market
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x189c38e8bf3733572f401f8d578099f7233baef3d5fcb438b4eeb0b73bacc787
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,647,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,011,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,647,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 98,019$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.83 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…3c01backed Yes | 33c | 95,461$31,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,224.37 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked Yes | 26c | 49,211$13,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,035.24 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 47,603$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.13 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 33c | 46,751$15,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,379.97 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…7d94backed Yes | 12c | 42,818$5,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,326.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49eb…cf37backed Yes | 34c | 42,237$14,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,230.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 27c | 39,537$10,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,498.73 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 13c | 36,362$4,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,831.98 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 13c | 29,996$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,034.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 37c | 25,790$9,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,487.42 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 79c | 23,220$18,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,832.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed Yes | 39c | 22,758$8,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,785.64 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 19,690$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.58 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 8c | 17,209$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.81 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 16,839$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.78 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 7c | 16,526$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.92 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50d2…5c8bbacked Yes | 2c | 16,094$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 3c | 15,948$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.49 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d55…f488backed Yes | 12c | 15,760$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…982dbacked Yes | 7c | 15,332$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0670…9b51backed Yes | 33c | 15,033$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,009.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 6c | 14,132$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.44 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…e804backed Yes | 16c | 14,118$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 69c | 13,799$9,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.37 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked Yes | 58c | 13,069$7,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,579.37 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812b…14d0backed Yes | 15c | 12,312$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…fd88backed Yes | 7c | 11,778$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes | 33c | 11,581$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861.17 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…3bdebacked Yes | 9c | 11,490$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.7 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…12a4backed Yes | 27c | 11,322$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.34 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 25c | 10,640$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.52 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 24c | 10,632$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.53 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…7b04backed Yes | 5c | 10,500$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 21c | 10,242$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.79 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 37c | 9,548$3,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533.74 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2132…7657backed Yes | 25c | 9,438$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.27 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 9,047$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 6c | 8,227$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.47 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 79c | 8,164$6,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 23c | 7,807$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.99 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 7,725$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.16 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 29c | 7,677$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.3 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 10c | 7,583$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.45 | 117 | 28.2%33 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 26c | 7,363$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.82 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 10c | 7,236$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed Yes | 30c | 7,195$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.11 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 66c | 7,032$4,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…8323backed Yes | 25c | 7,029$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.49 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +8.7wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 3c | 6,845$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dab…840bbacked Yes | 19c | 6,351$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…a4dfbacked Yes | 2c | 6,209$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 19c | 6,175$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.78 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Yes | 41c | 5,943$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 16c | 5,926$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.25 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…83cdbacked Yes | 48c | 5,914$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.58 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Yes | 19c | 5,693$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.67 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 4c | 5,692$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.18 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…8164backed Yes | 8c | 5,643$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda8…6ca8backed Yes | 15c | 5,638$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.36 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 41c | 5,507$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.18 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Yes | 4c | 5,494$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed Yes | 7c | 5,284$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.8 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 5c | 5,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…fc2abacked Yes | 6c | 5,243$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…7a0ebacked Yes | 39c | 5,200$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 5c | 5,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.69 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682e…70bdbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Yes | 21c | 4,908$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.73 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 4,889$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 34c | 4,705$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 4,676$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.58 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…fdcdbacked Yes | 11c | 4,459$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…9a3fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,425$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.68 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 25c | 4,362$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.06 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…c52dbacked Yes | 8c | 4,360$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.56 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 3c | 4,318$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 32c | 4,253$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.56 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f47…d0b0backed Yes | 11c | 4,072$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1996…9c32backed Yes | 4c | 4,051$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…d6dbbacked Yes | 6c | 4,034$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.12 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 13c | 3,996$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.42 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 3,870$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.89 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…85e8backed Yes | 7c | 3,798$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.23 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91b…93bdbacked Yes | 28c | 3,784$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.8 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 8c | 3,776$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.19 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 40c | 3,758$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.44 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes | 5c | 3,757$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…cdbfbacked No | 61c | 3,725$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Yes | 59c | 3,610$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed Yes | 39c | 3,506$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…3923backed Yes | 19c | 3,497$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c1…9771backed Yes | 3c | 3,450$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…01b9backed Yes | 7c | 3,311$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 31c | 3,260$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.18 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed Yes | 11c | 3,259$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 3,251$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 70c | 3,227$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.23 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…483fbacked Yes | 31c | 3,197$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?this page
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.