Middle East · resolved market
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x026750b9545df1861e77a85eb5461e621955344738355a6c7fe69bc78510d5d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $837,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $837,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 134,340$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 62,192$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.17 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 1c | 35,650$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.89 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…ffc0backed Yes | 1c | 23,573$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 0c | 21,007$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,322$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 15,510$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 1c | 12,794$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b84…953abacked Yes | 3c | 12,202$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…e766backed Yes | 1c | 11,475$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.64 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +249.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 0c | 10,859$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d55…f488backed Yes | 5c | 10,692$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 10,455$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb7…6f64backed Yes | 0c | 10,333$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 3cpaid | +2,470.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed Yes | 8c | 9,493$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.56 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed Yes | 1c | 8,921$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,737$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed Yes | 1c | 7,372$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…cf07backed Yes | 0c | 7,156$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 7,002$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…1593backed Yes | 1c | 6,887$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa02…2af0backed Yes | 0c | 6,595$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 1c | 6,414$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83f1…1936backed Yes | 2c | 5,799$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…0f92backed Yes | 1c | 5,494$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 5,191$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 228 | 2.6%6 W · 222 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 0c | 4,888$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,876$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 4,860$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9e…ae15backed Yes | 2c | 4,788$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 4,652$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 1c | 4,486$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 4,401$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,298$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,898$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,870$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 3c | 3,704$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed Yes | 1c | 3,600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…be3bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,596$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…20b1backed Yes | 1c | 3,478$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 115 | 1.7%2 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes | 2c | 3,332$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,305$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed Yes | 1c | 3,221$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 3,101$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…9e9abacked Yes | 1c | 3,063$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed Yes | 2c | 3,019$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed Yes | 1c | 2,812$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,776$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0c…c7f6backed Yes | 1c | 2,750$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc854…fa14backed Yes | 2c | 2,600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,320$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…307fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,141$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 3c | 2,038$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 2,028$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b7…79efbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…6db2backed Yes | 1c | 1,914$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 1cpaid | +448.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…01d6backed Yes | 3c | 1,868$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1e…08f0backed Yes | 1c | 1,828$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +301.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…ecf8backed Yes | 3c | 1,823$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…edbebacked Yes | 1c | 1,792$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 2c | 1,776$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,775$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 1c | 1,644$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 148 | 8.1%12 W · 136 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +238.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,544$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba61…4d0ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,511$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…324dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,473$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +161.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…4f15backed Yes | 1c | 1,448$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 1,317$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 170 | 3.5%6 W · 164 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…a542backed Yes | 2c | 1,306$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a39…afebbacked Yes | 2c | 1,283$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +802.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32af…b42fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,261$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 1,259$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…af99backed Yes | 4c | 1,204$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…6984backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4314backed Yes | 1c | 1,186$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,162$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…843ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,161$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 3c | 1,126$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes | 1c | 1,106$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…e4b0backed Yes | 2c | 1,103$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 12cpaid | +1,003.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…f29ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,057$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…8201backed Yes | 5c | 1,044$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +15.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0770…184bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,040$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…1601backed Yes | 2c | 1,011$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34d…b5c3backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…bc18backed Yes | 2c | 950$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…f9abbacked Yes | 1c | 866.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 831.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes | 2c | 822.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 197 | 6.6%13 W · 184 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1f…86c4backed Yes | 7c | 797.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 3c | 790.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…895dbacked Yes | 3c | 698$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yes | 3c | 672.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0e…e6d1backed Yes | 2c | 665.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…8adfbacked Yes | 2c | 572$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?this page
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.