Middle East · resolved market
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f3062f421a43ab9af2f3dc9c3eef48e2aab38a4c9858aca7651947642c4c964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,886,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,524,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,886,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 879 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 16c | 90,840$14,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,352.77 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 64,557$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.57 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 59,598$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.43 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 5c | 42,272$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.5 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 40,490$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.97 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 8c | 25,015$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,106.47 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 6c | 22,936$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.68 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 2c | 20,999$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.63 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 33c | 18,927$6,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,283.31 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 18c | 17,828$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.28 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 6c | 13,796$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.82 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c1…9771backed Yes | 1c | 11,884$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 68c | 11,368$7,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,679.18 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 10,407$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.71 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…7c43backed Yes | 48c | 9,998$4,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,826.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed Yes | 50c | 9,575$4,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,828.03 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 1c | 8,925$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.77 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed Yes | 6c | 8,841$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.92 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1dde…bcdebacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 9c | 7,886$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.67 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…6f11backed Yes | 71c | 7,458$5,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,276.35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…7a0ebacked Yes | 26c | 7,226$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed No | 7c | 7,088$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,568.72 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 28c | 6,788$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.21 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…5fbdbacked Yes | 60c | 6,686$4,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,043.97 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…1601backed Yes | 47c | 6,129$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked No | 59c | 6,015$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.09 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…cf07backed Yes | 0c | 5,995$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 43c | 5,994$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d2…5c8bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,847$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 13c | 5,670$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,911.11 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 77c | 5,550$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264.36 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…83cdbacked Yes | 68c | 5,281$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.07 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…6db2backed Yes | 0c | 4,706$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 1cpaid | +448.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef5…343ebacked Yes | 47c | 4,507$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.98 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 49c | 4,500$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.81 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 1c | 4,469$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 3c | 4,450$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.07 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 30c | 4,421$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.28 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…7c0abacked Yes | 58c | 4,298$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.76 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…c451backed No | 13c | 4,175$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +753.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…0f92backed Yes | 1c | 4,117$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed No | 36c | 4,059$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.02 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…e0c5backed Yes | 78c | 3,800$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.97 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 3c | 3,775$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.48 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,750$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 113 | 20.4%23 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…2cc6backed Yes | 13c | 3,617$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…5a02backed No | 17c | 3,597$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +196.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 3,589$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…ea26backed Yes | 1c | 3,514$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 6c | 3,482$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.24 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…405abacked Yes | 0c | 3,410$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 18c | 3,320$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.04 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 55c | 3,300$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.08 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1baebacked Yes | 18c | 3,293$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.61 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8072…0ef3backed Yes | 68c | 3,245$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…4f15backed Yes | 68c | 3,233$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.62 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…52cfbacked Yes | 62c | 3,181$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.29 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -10.4wins | -0.36per pick | 60cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…e69bbacked No | 34c | 3,181$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…77f8backed No | 37c | 3,180$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.76 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 6c | 3,129$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.24 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…424cbacked No | 27c | 3,074$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.07 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes | 4c | 3,048$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c40…3d64backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed Yes | 14c | 2,991$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.92 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 36c | 2,987$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.87 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 54c | 2,964$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.23 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 2,907$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.7 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0799…725cbacked No | 21c | 2,893$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.69 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7b…5485backed No | 22c | 2,866$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 2,859$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 38c | 2,804$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.7 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 56c | 2,790$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b8…6ddebacked No | 20c | 2,773$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 12cpaid | +264.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…d611backed No | 11c | 2,757$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes | 3c | 2,753$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 23c | 2,749$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.99 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 2c | 2,689$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 154 | 34.4%53 W · 101 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,659$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.37 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 58c | 2,641$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.7 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 40c | 2,616$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.07 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 2,613$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.67 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 4c | 2,586$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…cd38backed No | 8c | 2,580$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.48 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76f3…ae51backed Yes | 75c | 2,577$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.01 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0c…c7f6backed Yes | 1c | 2,575$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 59c | 2,564$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc724…3a19backed No | 15c | 2,557$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 40c | 2,529$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.68 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…8201backed Yes | 28c | 2,525$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.59 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +15.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 16c | 2,512$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.36 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…afe9backed Yes | 4c | 2,417$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 63c | 2,300$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.82 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked No | 14c | 2,292$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.47 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +131%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1081…c76bbacked No | 17c | 2,269$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.04 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d1…c8a4backed No | 56c | 2,259$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…af99backed No | 22c | 2,247$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.62 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Yes | 1c | 2,147$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +168.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…797cbacked Yes | 54c | 2,100$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 2,099$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?this page
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.