TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$311,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,843 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc693…72dbbacked Yes10c19,370$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.751711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-69.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes15c15,333$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.37137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0344…a65ebacked Yes5c14,392$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.59520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-65.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes15c13,420$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.4611712%14 W · 103 L-23.7wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Yes2c8,071$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3368.3%3 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58a0…2b5bbacked Yes14c7,284$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000210%0 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes14c7,258$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005324.5%13 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes3c6,939$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.874112.2%5 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9965…c703backed Yes13c6,505$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes15c6,204$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675c…2415backed Yes5c6,200$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310290%0 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1449…a618backed Yes2c4,917$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.481811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-80.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cb…ad46backed Yes6c4,323$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.67517.8%4 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes2c3,286$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.861168.6%10 W · 106 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+133.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes15c3,207$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.95746.8%5 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes16c2,958$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.19250%0 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Yes10c2,958$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes1c2,825$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.15250%0 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Yes6c2,575$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Yes3c2,558$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.96128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-87.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd515…14febacked Yes14c2,452$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.53425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Yes13c2,407$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.86825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb93c…a559backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9292…2cd1backed Yes2c1,977$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.65812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Yes15c1,879$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Yes1c1,809$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.951747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick26cpaid-12.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes21c1,775$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Yes19c1,763$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331382.6%1 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick13cpaid-95.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes19c1,500$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.51827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2967…f4c9backed Yes10c1,466$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6750%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5871…0defbacked Yes13c1,151$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.43200%0 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6a…bfb2backed Yes18c1,148$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d22…e2bbbacked Yes13c1,145$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes12c1,013$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1172725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d1…3913backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…7aa6backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ce…dbd6backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5090%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd793…1c4abacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x091c…0a4abacked Yes4c895.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x428b…5b25backed Yes15c877.21$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302020%4 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+88.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes13c780$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.62120%0 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c779.33$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.973030%9 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc7…c99abacked Yes13c758.82$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes8c750.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.925315.1%8 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+219.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b52…9208backed Yes14c708.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes4c704.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.42540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9742…787fbacked Yes4c690.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302711.1%3 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1332…2b23backed Yes10c689.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+92.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes12c673.48$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.932910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick9cpaid+14.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2967…4ae7backed Yes8c590.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49100%0 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31f5…c806backed Yes15c590.53$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.911729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes14c564.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80258%2 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick10cpaid+19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes16c552.71$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.556241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes13c535.95$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9910123.8%24 W · 77 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+44%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Yes2c515.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006445.3%29 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Yes3c499.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad0…be1dbacked Yes2c488.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick5cpaid+733.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes21c485.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes9c422.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.92306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207529.3%22 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Yes5c400$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.22128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-53.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0690…8821backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes7c400$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-90.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3604…bd45backed Yes8c394.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x702c…cccabacked Yes5c392.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe184…969bbacked Yes5c392$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.59520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+185.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0b…0874backed Yes16c380.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-63.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ac…6df6backed Yes14c357.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40c4…adbebacked Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-53.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1b…b263backed Yes15c357$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a2…3c41backed Yes14c356.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.75812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-82.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bf1…ac4ebacked Yes6c335$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20160%0 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Yes5c333$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.651030%3 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+75%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b48…8f19backed Yes5c327$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe67…dd7ebacked Yes8c324.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-72.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff1b…5dfdbacked Yes13c318.61$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5364…31d7backed Yes8c300$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.860%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc29d…2250backed Yes5c285.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Yes12c273.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3440%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Yes8c263.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-60.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa470…5283backed Yes8c263.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa4…917fbacked Yes8c259.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6274…7226backed Yes13c255.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid+102.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Yes16c251.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db4…9c07backed Yes16c227.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.58520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-73.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca98…15b7backed Yes13c214.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.940%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf24…34c6backed Yes8c210.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-70.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20f7…5527backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8500…4364backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+76.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5998…f89cbacked Yes18c199.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0569…6ce4backed Yes15c196.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd432…ce2dbacked Yes15c195.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes7c183.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1911412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfa7d…a524backed Yes15c164.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes9c155.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.95742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e00…9e93backed Yes8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.55270%0 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 69. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.