Golf · resolved market

Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 PGA Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd60a20e397279dc809592c206dc98e1f592575e63befd6257c3c244405dfcaf2

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $88,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $36,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,289 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	1c	34,313$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.42	233	19.3%45 W · 188 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes	7c	4,536$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	5c	2,646$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.88	117	12%14 W · 103 L	-23.7wins	-0.20per pick	32cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x2d8f…c553backed Yes	16c	2,504$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	20cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes	7c	2,368$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.64	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	2,275$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	9c	2,227$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.18	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Yes	7c	2,019$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.7	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+296.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Yes	3c	1,859$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb39a…abedbacked Yes	1c	1,362$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.23	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Yes	3c	1,275$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.09	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Yes	8c	1,000$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes	6c	1,000$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4889…359ebacked Yes	1c	1,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09a3…2349backed Yes	7c	700$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes	8c	600$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.07	101	23.8%24 W · 77 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	16cpaid	+44%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa919…65fabacked Yes	5c	535.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3f…64a2backed Yes	4c	508.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	3cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01f2…66e9backed Yes	6c	503.59$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes	5c	500$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	70	31.4%22 W · 48 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes	6c	349.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.75	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-92.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-90.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Yes	9c	294.12$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes	5c	247.91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed2…e4b7backed Yes	8c	200$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe36b…095dbacked Yes	7c	168.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaca…4b14backed Yes	13c	140.46$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.26	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-44%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b43…ce76backed Yes	7c	133.74$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b08…dd9bbacked Yes	13c	92.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-75.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 69. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 PGA Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event