Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63804fc110904a9c096182f88a8cbfa15df79d86e1714d5e666d32401123eb51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, Team Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Paper Rex | 59c | 18,793$11,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,773.98 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Vitality | 41c | 12,500$5,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,175 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Team Vitality | 1c | 6,352$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Vitality | 5c | 3,419$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.59 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Vitality | 4c | 2,526$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Vitality | 11c | 1,965$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.13 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Team Vitality | 42c | 1,880$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.6 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…a20dbacked Team Vitality | 39c | 1,753$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Team Vitality | 1c | 1,657$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Vitality | 30c | 1,445$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.15 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3323…213abacked Team Vitality | 38c | 1,415$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Paper Rex | 66c | 1,370$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.53 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Paper Rex | 80c | 1,145$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.03 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Paper Rex | 60c | 1,104$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.55 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Paper Rex | 52c | 1,093$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.59 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…bec3backed Team Vitality | 6c | 1,042$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Vitality | 46c | 1,005$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.29 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7657…66ccbacked Paper Rex | 52c | 1,000$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.02 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Vitality | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed Team Vitality | 41c | 932.55$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.35 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Team Vitality | 5c | 846$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Team Vitality | 8c | 752.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Vitality | 41c | 648.6$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.44 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…1398backed Team Vitality | 33c | 611.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe767…9107backed Team Vitality | 45c | 607.77$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Paper Rex | 65c | 599.06$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.38 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Team Vitality | 6c | 579.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…5b56backed Team Vitality | 26c | 563.77$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…9064backed Team Vitality | 11c | 550$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Team Vitality | 50c | 537.2$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.23 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Vitality | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f5…c45dbacked Team Vitality | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…2412backed Team Vitality | 38c | 391.03$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Vitality | 9c | 386.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Vitality | 10c | 348.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Vitality | 9c | 335.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Team Vitality | 51c | 287.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7b…bfeebacked Team Vitality | 39c | 268.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Vitality | 16c | 267.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb56…2bc6backed Team Vitality | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…3345backed Team Vitality | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Paper Rex | 70c | 244.71$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Vitality | 5c | 219$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Vitality | 13c | 201.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…b7b7backed Team Vitality | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…758ebacked Paper Rex | 54c | 189.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked Paper Rex | 56c | 175.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Team Vitality | 19c | 173$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Team Vitality | 20c | 153.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Paper Rex | 62c | 150.69$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebf…4b6cbacked Team Vitality | 13c | 149.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Team Vitality | 43c | 145.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Vitality | 28c | 143$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Team Vitality | 44c | 130.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Vitality | 29c | 122.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Vitality | 38c | 118.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Team Vitality | 43c | 106.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d7…cfe0backed Team Vitality | 20c | 102.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 34cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Paper Rex | 62c | 102.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed Team Vitality | 38c | 95.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9364…a9e1backed Team Vitality | 20c | 75.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Team Vitality | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f8…e7f5backed Paper Rex | 57c | 70.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf7…6692backed Team Vitality | 50c | 63.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b5…f34fbacked Team Vitality | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176b…59a2backed Paper Rex | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Paper Rex | 61c | 49.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Vitality | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Paper Rex | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…2262backed Team Vitality | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed Paper Rex | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…f88bbacked Paper Rex | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Team Vitality | 33c | 31.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked Paper Rex | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8faa…e76abacked Paper Rex | 59c | 28.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…5fa9backed Paper Rex | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Paper Rex | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…238cbacked Paper Rex | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)Paper Rex won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)Paper Rex won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)Team Vitality won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.