TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeb7b…bfee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6136.1%22 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$742.6
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$168.76
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.17
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+198.7%+$319.3
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+273.8%+$39.53
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.5
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+97%+$135.32
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.32
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.11
Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.17
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.32
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$48.35
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.38
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.34
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$223.48
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$38.82
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+206.5%+$644.4
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$297.76
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.34
Mexico vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$171.5
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.51
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 4 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$149.41
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.6
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$97.4
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$313.89
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.8
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.7
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.74
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.58
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.39
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.72
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.07
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.67
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$176.24
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.3
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$244.73
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.64
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.31
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$149.63
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$182.7
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.53
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$132
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$127.4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.07
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.67
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$105.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.37
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108%+$156.28
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$113.45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.02
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$48.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.