TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
EDward Gamingof XLG Gaming, EDward Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$655,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$785,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $655,760 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 626 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d6e…5cfdbacked XLG Gaming43c84,511$36,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,177.61540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked EDward Gaming57c41,708$23,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,010.133153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed XLG Gaming56c26,064$14,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,693.1452155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked XLG Gaming1c19,958$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.583432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed EDward Gaming58c19,200$11,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,06424145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x538a…0823backed XLG Gaming42c12,932$5,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,431.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed XLG Gaming43c10,830$4,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,619.465242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed XLG Gaming43c10,541$4,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,503.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed XLG Gaming20c10,000$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.852924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming67c9,613$6,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,143.7893049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca1f…202abacked EDward Gaming77c9,278$7,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.235749.1%28 W · 29 L-8.6wins-0.15per pick64cpaid-23.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed EDward Gaming58c7,561$4,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.873966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed EDward Gaming63c7,010$4,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,577.455655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed EDward Gaming57c6,644$3,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8328145.7%37 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c1…024dbacked XLG Gaming21c6,335$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.81323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed EDward Gaming79c6,157$4,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.29977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked EDward Gaming56c6,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.9426738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcadf…1f60backed EDward Gaming56c5,581$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.642867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked EDward Gaming57c5,543$3,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.9677744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed EDward Gaming56c5,537$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.634857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked EDward Gaming59c5,085$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.7511458.8%67 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed XLG Gaming48c4,466$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.2426050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed XLG Gaming41c4,304$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.171758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked EDward Gaming60c4,244$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.1810238.2%39 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked XLG Gaming44c3,548$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed XLG Gaming43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5053243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed EDward Gaming57c3,427$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.475952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed XLG Gaming25c3,318$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.292245.5%10 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+241.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked XLG Gaming33c3,232$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.9968458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed XLG Gaming42c3,176$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.622245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming30c3,174$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.251,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ea1…94dcbacked XLG Gaming17c3,152$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.21633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+87%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked XLG Gaming30c3,096$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.3535142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked XLG Gaming43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2901513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-64.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed EDward Gaming56c2,663$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.721435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked XLG Gaming27c2,595$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.2465559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed EDward Gaming54c2,584$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.9339042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf651…c57fbacked XLG Gaming35c2,546$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.151741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed XLG Gaming42c2,495$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.7424250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed EDward Gaming57c2,467$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.854736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked EDward Gaming68c2,435$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.3713759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked EDward Gaming70c2,395$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.56150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed EDward Gaming69c2,183$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.182729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c23…cab3backed EDward Gaming57c2,131$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.127656.6%43 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked EDward Gaming59c2,130$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.291450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2591…51c1backed XLG Gaming34c2,122$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed XLG Gaming44c2,058$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.431225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-65.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2230…c3b7backed XLG Gaming44c2,058$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed EDward Gaming57c2,057$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.42240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed EDward Gaming58c1,966$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.527347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked EDward Gaming57c1,855$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.0713455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked EDward Gaming55c1,795$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.0378562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde8b…429dbacked EDward Gaming67c1,780$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.46837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed XLG Gaming30c1,776$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.6953159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked XLG Gaming42c1,754$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.847338.4%28 W · 45 L-10.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4841…1767backed XLG Gaming10c1,602$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed EDward Gaming56c1,596$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.2924946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked EDward Gaming58c1,531$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.031758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9394…b7b7backed EDward Gaming56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked EDward Gaming58c1,450$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.5110951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed XLG Gaming41c1,450$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.541734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed EDward Gaming57c1,443$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.4414850.7%75 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e42…a2bcbacked EDward Gaming56c1,436$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming18c1,421$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.281,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed EDward Gaming57c1,371$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.298538.8%33 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a1c…b465backed EDward Gaming56c1,340$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.63770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed EDward Gaming57c1,295$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.741747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked XLG Gaming60c1,280$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.5626650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x018a…cec9backed XLG Gaming34c1,250$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed XLG Gaming25c1,249$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.316373%46 W · 17 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed EDward Gaming54c1,232$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.9816547.9%79 W · 86 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked EDward Gaming66c1,231$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3768949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec8…cb4ebacked EDward Gaming58c1,214$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+131.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d3a…9683backed EDward Gaming57c1,192$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb71d…d14bbacked EDward Gaming51c1,186$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.01650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed XLG Gaming42c1,165$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.355147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked XLG Gaming41c1,118$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.8111450%57 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked XLG Gaming31c1,103$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.1953355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked EDward Gaming46c1,100$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5994544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked XLG Gaming40c1,098$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.0926450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45cb…99eebacked EDward Gaming58c1,077$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.421758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked EDward Gaming46c1,059$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.861,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed XLG Gaming26c1,049$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4818444.6%82 W · 102 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f5…9028backed EDward Gaming56c1,028$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed XLG Gaming43c1,017$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.483565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed XLG Gaming57c1,015$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.5554751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed EDward Gaming38c1,010$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.21,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed XLG Gaming41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41022449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed EDward Gaming43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57018457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed EDward Gaming57c1,000$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4251668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed EDward Gaming60c999.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed XLG Gaming40c999.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.991637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked EDward Gaming56c969.89$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.75850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c48…eba9backed XLG Gaming42c952.37$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.997045.7%32 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7657…66ccbacked EDward Gaming61c947.85$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.182576%19 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9fa…e287backed EDward Gaming57c947.06$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd06…f0c1backed EDward Gaming64c942.94$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.943046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed XLG Gaming9c915.74$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.274642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabcc…10b4backed EDward Gaming45c906.31$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.611353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed EDward Gaming80c906.19$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2417349.7%86 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.