TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
XLG Gamingof EDward Gaming, XLG Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,940 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d6e…5cfdbacked XLG Gaming69c5,319$3,670 inWon+$1,648.821540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked EDward Gaming31c1,454$451 inLost-$450.712250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed EDward Gaming31c1,151$357 inLost-$356.9622955%126 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked EDward Gaming31c671.26$208 inLost-$208.098243.9%36 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad1d…a725backed EDward Gaming31c627.64$195 inLost-$194.5730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed XLG Gaming45c593.05$266 inWon+$326.567847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed EDward Gaming31c459$142 inLost-$142.291020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-56%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed EDward Gaming30c378.27$113 inLost-$113.484736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked XLG Gaming70c378.27$265 inWon+$113.4831046.5%144 W · 166 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0095…76e2backed EDward Gaming53c377.36$200 inLost-$2002152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed EDward Gaming31c312.84$97 inLost-$96.9817640.3%71 W · 105 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed EDward Gaming31c303.23$94 inLost-$941947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdfd…cf0cbacked EDward Gaming59c120.63$71 inLost-$71.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming31c106.23$33 inLost-$32.9393049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e26…5358backed EDward Gaming58c99.29$58 inLost-$581338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed XLG Gaming47c92.08$43 inWon+$48.6969722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked EDward Gaming31c80.45$25 inLost-$24.945655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1915…6356backed EDward Gaming56c71.26$40 inLost-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed EDward Gaming59c60$35 inLost-$35.417349.7%86 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed EDward Gaming30c58.62$18 inLost-$17.5939042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x176b…59a2backed EDward Gaming52c57.83$30 inLost-$302157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb682…2d79backed EDward Gaming31c48.39$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x119d…bec3backed EDward Gaming31c48.39$15 inLost-$155536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked EDward Gaming37c40$15 inLost-$14.85554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed XLG Gaming67c36.1$24 inWon+$11.8149255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed EDward Gaming53c26.42$14 inLost-$144062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.