Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa0552870b9f7267f8add573d65863076842c2bfb1fab880cfa79e608f8ae482
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Vitalityof Paper Rex, Team Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Vitality | 65c | 1,669$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.99 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Paper Rex | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Team Vitality | 57c | 759.94$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.86 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Team Vitality | 64c | 722$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.92 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Paper Rex | 36c | 555$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Team Vitality | 64c | 555$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Paper Rex | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Paper Rex | 37c | 430.45$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.83 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…64c3backed Paper Rex | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Team Vitality | 33c | 380.02$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.89 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Paper Rex | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Team Vitality | 63c | 319.32$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Team Vitality | 63c | 305.89$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Paper Rex | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd06…f0c1backed Paper Rex | 64c | 156.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked Paper Rex | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed Paper Rex | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Team Vitality | 63c | 119.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Paper Rex | 37c | 119.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fb…3f95backed Paper Rex | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…327fbacked Paper Rex | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Vitality | 64c | 83.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Paper Rex | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…523bbacked Team Vitality | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Paper Rex | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…21cdbacked Paper Rex | 25c | 59.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Team Vitality | 75c | 51.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…180abacked Team Vitality | 57c | 51.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…2992backed Team Vitality | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Team Vitality | 55c | 46.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac6…b7c8backed Team Vitality | 64c | 41.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…fdeebacked Team Vitality | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe844…3d42backed Paper Rex | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)Paper Rex won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.