TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$417,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$393,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,442 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c75,933$5,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,281.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes7c50,039$3,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,551.192,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes8c20,303$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.184,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Yes7c20,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4008435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8f…1691backed Yes8c18,687$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.93128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-48.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcc2f…a15fbacked Yes7c13,848$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.343732.4%12 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes7c8,999$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9312325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes7c5,843$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.042,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes8c5,625$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45017733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes6c3,350$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.99639.5%6 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes6c3,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18035110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes8c2,507$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Yes6c2,277$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6117414.4%25 W · 149 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes8c2,206$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1706729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes9c2,200$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9827811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes7c2,065$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5229017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes7c1,882$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.731,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x557a…3d56backed Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150756.7%5 W · 70 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…be88backed Yes8c1,807$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.56277.4%2 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6e9…00f8backed Yes9c1,617$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.518637.6%70 W · 116 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafe6…71d3backed Yes5c1,450$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014351.7%74 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x092f…2ff1backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012015.8%19 W · 101 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7bc…6e87backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100818.6%7 W · 74 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+53.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012634.9%44 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4d…81a7backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003318.2%6 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b77…b4e1backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007424.3%18 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3771…5023backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009317.2%16 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018614.5%27 W · 159 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ff…f2bebacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023929.7%71 W · 168 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f5c…9353backed Yes8c1,400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11216540.6%67 W · 98 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Yes7c1,370$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9332422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b82…2291backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes6c1,187$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2517416.1%28 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes7c1,071$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75997.1%7 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8023440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc60f…5b36backed Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14be…3296backed Yes10c972.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004829.2%14 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe569…d4c9backed Yes7c953.14$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x813d…0378backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0b…ba08backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes6c892.46$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3240515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf2…cec8backed Yes12c844.08$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.297018.6%13 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes7c836.7$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013527.4%37 W · 98 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3b…ab63backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508619.8%17 W · 69 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Yes7c771.43$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545143.1%22 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1982…5ed8backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005228.8%15 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes14c737.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff8d…c814backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014225.4%36 W · 106 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a72…f409backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98da…a9ebbacked Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick25cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d95…9e68backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505315.1%8 W · 45 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6592…2767backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013718.2%25 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x302f…a568backed Yes7c694.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.62258%2 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-87.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f91…2819backed Yes10c690$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012514.4%18 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes6c599.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3653514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…1be4backed Yes10c595.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3556…c4c8backed Yes7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick22cpaid+138.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes9c565.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.261,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes8c545.78$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4222824.6%56 W · 172 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf7d…cdf0backed Yes7c535.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022643.4%98 W · 128 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8530…a554backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5473…f736backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507218.1%13 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Yes7c499.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510720.6%22 W · 85 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Yes11c452$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6117732.2%57 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd6e…0633backed Yes7c430$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba3…5f54backed Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfef3…bd16backed Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fca…dde6backed Yes6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251326.8%9 W · 123 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes7c414.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2949426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa226…5b97backed Yes7c409.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.65215.4%8 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes10c384.93$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.952888%23 W · 265 L-1.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ff…6494backed Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303327.3%9 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2575630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb869…7f80backed Yes10c353.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037320.9%78 W · 295 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c6…b636backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-51.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x150d…6395backed Yes9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes7c327.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.22619.8%6 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf11f…1158backed Yes10c310.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.976334.9%22 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Yes8c308.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.68541.9%1 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-92.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019118.8%36 W · 155 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x566c…3d03backed Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216942%29 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a9e…8ed7backed Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21140%0 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…835dbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205623.2%13 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6110…5d2ebacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018340.4%74 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca83…8b16backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…fd2dbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.