Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Algeria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfe9f08e61d28d627d5b5fe6f6e54c3d5cb5dfc445149c4778473dd37c989752
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $331,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91ce…16ecbacked Yes | 4c | 82,516$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…a43ebacked Yes | 7c | 33,743$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Yes | 4c | 30,000$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.66 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 25,507$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…00a1backed Yes | 5c | 16,122$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 4c | 14,780$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.5 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 4c | 10,828$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.67 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 4c | 4,020$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.34 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 4c | 3,576$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 115 | 5.2%6 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 6c | 2,513$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.64 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08a…92a4backed Yes | 4c | 2,399$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…5b36backed Yes | 4c | 2,238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 3c | 2,024$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677a…e857backed Yes | 3c | 1,498$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,419$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 4c | 1,333$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14be…3296backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55cb…275abacked Yes | 4c | 1,160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 8.7%9 W · 94 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…c814backed Yes | 5c | 1,111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…7e74backed Yes | 5c | 1,111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…a9ebbacked Yes | 5c | 1,042$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,032$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…c995backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 399 | 32.6%130 W · 269 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 3c | 897.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…6af7backed Yes | 4c | 822.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f22…8806backed Yes | 4c | 791.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…15a8backed Yes | 4c | 633.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6898…19d4backed Yes | 4c | 613.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 5c | 548.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes | 5c | 531.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…80a3backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…8c02backed Yes | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Yes | 5c | 499.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db6…5176backed Yes | 4c | 476.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 15.8%12 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a5…0f5abacked Yes | 4c | 465.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 3c | 455.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…3d03backed Yes | 4c | 449.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 4c | 444.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…5c13backed Yes | 4c | 444.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 5c | 434.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 315 | 20.3%64 W · 251 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…5507backed Yes | 4c | 421.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…e0e9backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…9e68backed Yes | 4c | 340.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…86f3backed Yes | 5c | 326.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…9405backed Yes | 3c | 319.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…e792backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…bc89backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 9.2%14 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…79e8backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3d…34efbacked Yes | 4c | 288.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 5c | 272.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5b97backed Yes | 4c | 254.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 6c | 239.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…5730backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Algeria?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Algeria?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.