Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Algeria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b269ad6a5ca4d92e8a5d7057cf42e1b2d7618e68a8f47eeb71135035197e94d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 2c | 32,472$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.79 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 7c | 10,148$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.85 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 8,871$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 7c | 6,756$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.41 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Yes | 8c | 3,922$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 3c | 2,403$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 8c | 2,261$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.91 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf695…409fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,763$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Yes | 8c | 1,678$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…b4cebacked Yes | 6c | 1,333$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,326$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 19.6%19 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,281$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 8c | 1,190$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 6c | 1,121$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…0de9backed Yes | 7c | 996.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 8c | 987.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…2ed4backed Yes | 8c | 948.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 7c | 749.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 7c | 704.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 7c | 692.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…2819backed Yes | 7c | 666.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…8d4cbacked Yes | 8c | 595.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 7c | 482.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…08ebbacked Yes | 8c | 384.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 8c | 324.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 5c | 315.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x951a…8c9dbacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes | 6c | 307.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 15.2%26 W · 145 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…04fabacked Yes | 8c | 302.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x157f…25c1backed Yes | 7c | 273.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc17…c931backed Yes | 8c | 238.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f22…1d6bbacked Yes | 7c | 233.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…2859backed Yes | 9c | 225.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 7c | 217.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 7c | 213.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…8ac0backed Yes | 7c | 211.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 8c | 194.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes | 6c | 168$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 96 | 8.3%8 W · 88 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…b720backed Yes | 8c | 153.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d69…1ccfbacked Yes | 8c | 153.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…301cbacked Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96a…8489backed Yes | 8c | 139.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Algeria?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Algeria?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.