Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Algeria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x680fd3ab8654def212cca5885b261c379ce6c615ef0f3af004607ba242e4349b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 18,637$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 4c | 13,637$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.67 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 5,733$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 2c | 4,110$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 3c | 3,544$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.23 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 4c | 3,188$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b1…f95abacked Yes | 4c | 2,564$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…198cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,297$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 4c | 1,408$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 4c | 1,351$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 24.2%54 W · 169 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,321$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 399 | 32.6%130 W · 269 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes | 3c | 891.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 171 | 15.2%26 W · 145 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 4c | 846.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 4c | 800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Yes | 3c | 799.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Yes | 4c | 748.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…9358backed Yes | 4c | 733.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 3c | 595.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 11.7%12 W · 91 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Yes | 3c | 532.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…99e4backed Yes | 4c | 517.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…9e68backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…5c13backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…9ffdbacked Yes | 3c | 499.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…b2a6backed Yes | 4c | 431.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e58…3378backed Yes | 4c | 412.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55cb…275abacked Yes | 4c | 394.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 8.7%9 W · 94 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 4c | 384.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c1…d6cdbacked Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 32.5%63 W · 131 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 3c | 354.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Yes | 4c | 340.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 15.6%20 W · 108 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 4c | 337.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Algeria?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Algeria?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.