TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sashi Esportof Sashi Esport, HyperSpirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,647 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc368…a3c4backed HyperSpirit39c4,018$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.54141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Sashi Esport48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.994731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Sashi Esport55c3,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.9643751.7%226 W · 211 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd592…9618backed Sashi Esport66c2,755$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.326752.2%35 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Sashi Esport64c2,439$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.4334559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x261c…9111backed Sashi Esport58c2,341$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked HyperSpirit41c2,114$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.292,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked HyperSpirit42c1,987$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.882,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a13…4d34backed HyperSpirit23c1,521$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.1911838.1%45 W · 73 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed HyperSpirit36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54015264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HyperSpirit51c1,336$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.425,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked HyperSpirit37c1,268$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46963341.9%265 W · 368 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf61a…5943backed HyperSpirit3c1,200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.019040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked HyperSpirit46c1,144$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.891,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked HyperSpirit44c1,106$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.77,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f9…d198backed HyperSpirit19c1,076$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.83234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Sashi Esport71c1,037$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.6166551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed Sashi Esport75c1,000$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.217951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Sashi Esport49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51019546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked HyperSpirit40c965.78$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.222949.8%114 W · 115 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed HyperSpirit26c922.13$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.5357641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed HyperSpirit23c856.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013223.5%31 W · 101 L-10.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9499…d5bbbacked HyperSpirit27c809.47$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2171637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Sashi Esport76c747.72$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1928355.5%157 W · 126 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Sashi Esport71c699.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20060748.1%292 W · 315 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Sashi Esport74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.681,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed HyperSpirit37c659$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.972,34346.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L-49.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…6b17backed Sashi Esport55c629.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.410551.4%54 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed HyperSpirit28c600$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16616829.2%49 W · 119 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed HyperSpirit26c599.95$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.992,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed HyperSpirit26c582.04$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.745,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed HyperSpirit43c579.57$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011742.7%50 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked HyperSpirit5c524.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.983138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed HyperSpirit24c517.83$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.289842.9%42 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked HyperSpirit24c513.53$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.253256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sashi Esport64c512.57$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.662,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b3…c2d7backed Sashi Esport61c501.61$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.616457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53b4…2e88backed HyperSpirit25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked HyperSpirit43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21582146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Sashi Esport65c499.99$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.55044%22 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked Sashi Esport66c492.53$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5714544.8%65 W · 80 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed HyperSpirit45c488.51$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.6889046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Sashi Esport66c487.43$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7340542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34af…3bbfbacked HyperSpirit27c482.78$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.712630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked HyperSpirit25c479.4$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4127530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed HyperSpirit27c424.85$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.529141.8%38 W · 53 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed HyperSpirit31c423.96$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.286,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf6…b29fbacked Sashi Esport70c417.64$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.468654.7%47 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed Sashi Esport60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16020562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Sashi Esport66c372$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.381,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked HyperSpirit45c329.37$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7774653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b9…8359backed HyperSpirit22c303.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f18…c075backed HyperSpirit36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1084045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Sashi Esport63c295.64$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4717456.9%99 W · 75 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Sashi Esport77c289.13$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.131,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fb…1c4abacked Sashi Esport64c267.11$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.77350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Sashi Esport58c260.71$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.510063%63 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed HyperSpirit9c250$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.56544.6%29 W · 36 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0af3…8598backed HyperSpirit50c249.87$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.214749.7%73 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed HyperSpirit44c247.75$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9219340.4%78 W · 115 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed HyperSpirit33c240.64$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8961737.9%234 W · 383 L-22.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed HyperSpirit37c237.42$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.462,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed HyperSpirit51c232.28$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1196040%24 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Sashi Esport51c225.49$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4919448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed HyperSpirit36c220.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5864046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Sashi Esport67c215.39$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.332,60352.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked HyperSpirit25c210.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3562738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked HyperSpirit34c210.7$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.733,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed HyperSpirit38c208$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.640141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed HyperSpirit25c206.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.588143.2%35 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Sashi Esport66c202.16$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1137140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Sashi Esport65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7017448.3%84 W · 90 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed HyperSpirit48c190.94$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0673548.4%356 W · 379 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed HyperSpirit25c187.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.261,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed HyperSpirit17c181.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.521,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked HyperSpirit34c178$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3243640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed HyperSpirit51c170.96$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8837949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe145…468dbacked HyperSpirit49c168.55$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Sashi Esport77c166.89$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891,03857.4%596 W · 442 L+18.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Sashi Esport63c165.14$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.934,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed HyperSpirit28c165$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.910248%49 W · 53 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Sashi Esport65c163.6$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.494,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked HyperSpirit31c162.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.273,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed Sashi Esport63c161.12$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1234547.5%164 W · 181 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9445…d90cbacked HyperSpirit37c160.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.171546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed HyperSpirit18c159.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.318037.8%68 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Sashi Esport68c158.14$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.811,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa091…f1c1backed Sashi Esport50c156$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789737.1%36 W · 61 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Sashi Esport66c151.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.99549.5%47 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Sashi Esport65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.530348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9311…e731backed Sashi Esport56c140$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.056560%39 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20c4…f632backed Sashi Esport74c135.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.276761.2%41 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189c…bd67backed Sashi Esport77c129.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.621361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked HyperSpirit23c129.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.445138.4%173 W · 278 L-29.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed HyperSpirit26c127.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.862,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed HyperSpirit51c122.15$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0540857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked HyperSpirit29c118.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.463,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Sashi Esport52c118.11$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1112654.8%69 W · 57 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x79c1…c3b7backed HyperSpirit17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked HyperSpirit26c115$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.935131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.