CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs HyperSpirit (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc547d283309debb4bcbb8fbdbb0d75d90d5d623336b26bfb8b46c2e82352af75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof Sashi Esport, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Sashi Esport | 47c | 1,109$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.7 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Sashi Esport | 44c | 442.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…bef4backed HyperSpirit | 54c | 369.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.97 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…2d49backed HyperSpirit | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed HyperSpirit | 55c | 208.18$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Sashi Esport | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked HyperSpirit | 51c | 197.46$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed HyperSpirit | 58c | 197.02$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed HyperSpirit | 55c | 190.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HyperSpirit | 53c | 182.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…b7a7backed Sashi Esport | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed HyperSpirit | 54c | 151.85$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Sashi Esport | 46c | 138.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sashi Esport | 43c | 102.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Sashi Esport | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked HyperSpirit | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed HyperSpirit | 54c | 62.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked HyperSpirit | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed HyperSpirit | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked HyperSpirit | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed HyperSpirit | 55c | 35.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed HyperSpirit | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked HyperSpirit | 54c | 32.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sashi Esport | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed HyperSpirit | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Sashi Esport | 43c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked HyperSpirit | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed HyperSpirit | 57c | 24.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs HyperSpirit (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 PlayoffsSashi Esport won
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 WinnerSashi Esport won
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 WinnerHyperSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.