Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 3 Norway?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1dacb8c3dacbc28e9183a3c8b87a21ae5f579d42af50e0f0a1799cc426fe891
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 31,045$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.09 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 12c | 8,660$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.97 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8f…1691backed Yes | 3c | 5,344$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…b750backed Yes | 22c | 4,478$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.81 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…3d56backed Yes | 3c | 2,069$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 3c | 1,991$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 5c | 1,890$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 4c | 1,817$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4d…5b1dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,680$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,477$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,407$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,210$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 11c | 999.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…b276backed Yes | 10c | 971.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 11c | 913.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed Yes | 11c | 902.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 2c | 800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Yes | 2c | 625$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…148fbacked Yes | 3c | 588.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 3c | 568.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 9c | 566.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 11c | 564.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…cedfbacked Yes | 9c | 537.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 2c | 524.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 2c | 519.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Yes | 10c | 495.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ba…96d6backed Yes | 11c | 450.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…da32backed Yes | 11c | 434.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 12c | 428.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes | 2c | 414.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 11c | 411.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…a34cbacked Yes | 9c | 392.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…de60backed Yes | 13c | 380.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 12c | 344.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 340.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…6ae0backed Yes | 9c | 326.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…2819backed Yes | 10c | 286.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a01…3aa6backed Yes | 11c | 283.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…cb34backed Yes | 8c | 263.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…7651backed Yes | 12c | 249.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e58…94bdbacked Yes | 11c | 222.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 18.2%22 W · 99 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 11c | 216.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…3223backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…5ee8backed Yes | 9c | 210.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 7c | 207.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 12c | 204.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…5023backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…825cbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…c78fbacked Yes | 10c | 199.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 11c | 188.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 11c | 167.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 11c | 165.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…7852backed Yes | 11c | 162.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 8c | 145.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e9…f6cabacked Yes | 11c | 131.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 10c | 130.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…c3b7backed Yes | 12c | 129.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 11c | 115$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 203 | 34%69 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 399 | 32.6%130 W · 269 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…5de2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 11c | 96.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 12c | 82.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 3 Norway?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 3 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 3 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 3 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 3 - 3 Norway?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.