Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 1 Norway?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84597e1470db687edb39326fed6f290a0fb79530d58e4344ea25c760bbc9cdbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd8c…b750backed Yes | 12c | 12,258$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.13 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes | 12c | 11,178$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 147 | 34%50 W · 97 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 10,668$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 3,251$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.11 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 3,086$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.44 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246e…9556backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b1…5443backed Yes | 13c | 1,574$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 10c | 1,502$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,490$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.84 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…b57dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,337$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14be…3296backed Yes | 12c | 1,288$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 11c | 910$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…81a7backed Yes | 11c | 891.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 10c | 872.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes | 12c | 841.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8b69backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 12c | 641.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…5b36backed Yes | 13c | 615.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…087fbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…7d79backed Yes | 11c | 465.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…e49abacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 17c | 397.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…0985backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…a9efbacked Yes | 12c | 375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 114 | 22.8%26 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fd…bd85backed Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c92…c17fbacked Yes | 12c | 308$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 11c | 302.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9884…3ca4backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 20c | 251.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Yes | 12c | 244.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Yes | 21c | 239.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…7dcabacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103b…1e89backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 10c | 190.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc697…2e77backed Yes | 11c | 175.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf37…dafbbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 11c | 161$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfd…29a4backed Yes | 12c | 160.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 13c | 159.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…0ed5backed Yes | 12c | 158.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 11c | 157.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…238abacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 20.8%37 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf831…dfa6backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…93aebacked Yes | 11c | 131.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…23c7backed Yes | 11c | 125.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5185…da23backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cb…1f7bbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…d6a8backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +17.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…8f39backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…164fbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…ab88backed Yes | 12c | 121.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…1b7bbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 192 | 19.8%38 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90c…0d37backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63cb…65c0backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfad…956ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ce…0b77backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…d931backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…2140backed Yes | 11c | 96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…0422backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 21c | 69.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 1 Norway?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 3 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 3 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 3 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 3 - 3 Norway?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.