Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 1 Norway?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd633e2314b401a3bf73aa508989cbc91f886c3b2f1254a7a9b121560e4b278f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5520…2842backed Yes | 0c | 25,003$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 20,320$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.29 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…b750backed Yes | 9c | 5,371$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.63 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Yes | 7c | 5,051$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.85 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 6c | 3,036$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.03 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 7c | 2,840$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.11 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 11c | 2,686$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.24 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 7c | 2,024$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.73 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…3977backed Yes | 7c | 1,818$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.29 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,777$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.61 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…81a7backed Yes | 7c | 1,466$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677a…e857backed Yes | 7c | 1,454$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,112$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ca…a6ecbacked Yes | 7c | 1,072$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 7c | 949.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 399 | 32.6%130 W · 269 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 6c | 760$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd0…adb2backed Yes | 7c | 747.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes | 7c | 735.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…9e68backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 7c | 667$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 7c | 441.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…1481backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…5458backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…de2abacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 8c | 349.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…452dbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…6ea7backed Yes | 7c | 277.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…1291backed Yes | 7c | 269.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 7c | 265.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Yes | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 8c | 243.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…93aebacked Yes | 5c | 230.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 12c | 229.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…d63ebacked Yes | 14c | 222.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…8f39backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…164fbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…f4c5backed Yes | 5c | 192.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 6c | 189.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 9c | 179.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c7…3c77backed Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…0ed5backed Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…12c6backed Yes | 14c | 105.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 1 Norway?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 3 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 3 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 3 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Iraq 3 - 3 Norway?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.