AI · resolved market
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72be6569b8af06120273c73d21744f0c0a8152372acb99c0a18a8053af990c86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 389 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 57c | 9,699$5,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,201.77 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 71c | 9,146$6,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bf…e00bbacked No | 55c | 7,751$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,248.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf654…3265backed No | 16c | 5,753$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 3c | 5,600$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 631 | 1.3%8 W · 623 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…ee3ebacked No | 47c | 5,206$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.66 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…3c4dbacked Yes | 72c | 5,049$3,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.11 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 74c | 4,893$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.47 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…460ebacked No | 47c | 4,360$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 61c | 4,070$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.13 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes | 73c | 3,971$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.29 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 51c | 3,493$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.24 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 41c | 3,452$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.37 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 2,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 62c | 2,800$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.01 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…f94abacked No | 66c | 2,765$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 57c | 2,650$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 37c | 2,519$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.89 | 481 | 38%183 W · 298 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 55c | 2,363$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.76 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…3eaabacked Yes | 63c | 2,246$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.56 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 65c | 2,104$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.79 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 45c | 2,100$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.75 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 2,011$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.45 | 1,368 | 6.8%93 W · 1,275 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…2a2fbacked No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…b53cbacked No | 1c | 1,952$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 5c | 1,931$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7be…f3ecbacked No | 5c | 1,850$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…7ad0backed No | 40c | 1,770$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 16c | 1,762$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.64 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…a11dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,637$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.45 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed No | 28c | 1,604$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.12 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked No | 28c | 1,539$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.88 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 3c | 1,505$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ad…9a6dbacked No | 55c | 1,502$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 5c | 1,469$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 72 | 4.2%3 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 44c | 1,457$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.32 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4580…cd15backed No | 26c | 1,397$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 45c | 1,381$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 24c | 1,371$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.13 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…d225backed No | 49c | 1,333$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5129…add5backed Yes | 72c | 1,300$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…8760backed No | 7c | 1,279$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…1ed4backed Yes | 71c | 1,260$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaf…998cbacked No | 38c | 1,257$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…3f37backed Yes | 66c | 1,251$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6174…fbcabacked No | 19c | 1,226$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0231…fdcdbacked No | 20c | 1,188$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 7c | 1,140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 117 | 5.1%6 W · 111 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 61c | 1,092$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.17 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…cf51backed No | 60c | 1,085$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…2727backed No | 2c | 1,074$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 53c | 1,041$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 33c | 1,031$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.87 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1605…43bfbacked No | 5c | 1,012$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 48c | 1,009$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…f7bdbacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…7dd5backed No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46f…fa4ebacked Yes | 75c | 999.99$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…450fbacked Yes | 50c | 995.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 5c | 992.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 87 | 0%0 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…133abacked No | 43c | 962.83$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 6c | 961.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 85 | 0%0 W · 85 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…003dbacked No | 10c | 899.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2e…c986backed No | 35c | 851.49$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151d…ebfcbacked No | 43c | 833.33$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4044…8de5backed No | 59c | 800$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…8c4fbacked Yes | 64c | 781.84$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…c4e4backed No | 32c | 772.61$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb949…d8e0backed No | 53c | 754.8$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a11…3c2abacked Yes | 38c | 719$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 41c | 713.28$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.61 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…ddd1backed Yes | 38c | 712$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4e…2457backed Yes | 38c | 712$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…d08abacked Yes | 38c | 710$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08aa…03bbbacked Yes | 38c | 705$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 52c | 689.11$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Yes | 65c | 680.4$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c9…3806backed No | 50c | 666$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2044…60f7backed Yes | 50c | 666$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 42c | 663.47$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.91 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5622…f55dbacked No | 27c | 659.6$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba6…af21backed No | 36c | 631.1$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1a…7871backed No | 48c | 618.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 25c | 614.35$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.93 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed No | 6c | 600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 21c | 587.15$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab0…9663backed Yes | 52c | 578.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 34c | 550.65$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…5eb8backed No | 10c | 550$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…d5f9backed No | 27c | 550$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 29c | 546.34$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.71 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379d…2afdbacked No | 12c | 536.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…9262backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…b4b8backed No | 23c | 499.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 75c | 494.38$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dfbebacked Yes | 30c | 475.34$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.81 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…dc14backed Yes | 40c | 471.24$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?this page
- Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No won
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No won
- Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No won
- Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No won
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No won
- Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No won
- Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.