MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02e6292d3236e2fb57cee80181bc59009577b2f383fc69373c4f36c5da6f9178
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $676,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $709,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 292,595$140,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,695.67 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 151,148$81,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,430.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Boston Red Sox | 28c | 43,164$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,300.36 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 39,604$20,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,198.02 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 37,400$19,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,952 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 37,164$19,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,841.68 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Boston Red Sox | 0c | 35,564$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 22,322$11,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,724.83 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.77 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 15,534$7,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,456.41 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 15,497$8,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,477.14 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 14,427$7,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,924.78 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 12,859$7,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,370.65 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 11,903$6,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,713.4 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 11,800$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 9,709$5,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,671.06 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 7,777$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.95 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Boston Red Sox | 0c | 6,600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 5,489$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.29 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 4,971$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.86 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 4,951$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.25 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 3,960$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.78 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 3,892$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 3,578$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.69 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 3,334$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.32 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 3,171$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.87 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 2,970$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.85 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,656$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.35 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 21c | 2,462$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Boston Red Sox | 2c | 2,179$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 2,050$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.22 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.07 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,820$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.41 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…791bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,800$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aad…16c3backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,620$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.6 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Boston Red Sox | 3c | 1,538$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,525$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.76 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,494$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.96 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…5d59backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,405$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,367$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.73 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…76e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,212$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,145$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox | 4c | 1,037$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Boston Red Sox | 17c | 1,011$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.83 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 935.94$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.08 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…138fbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 821.49$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.93 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 701$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.47 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 700$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 602.42$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.04 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 587.12$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.64 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 576.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.74 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 571.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.48 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Boston Red Sox | 5c | 550$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Boston Red Sox | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Boston Red Sox | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 13c | 464.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 463.92$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.68 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 444.42$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 443.34$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 443$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.64 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2168…c154backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 440$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 427.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 416.44$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.89 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 410.76$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.27 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 407.55$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.55 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 393.71$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.78 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 385.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 377.45$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.17 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 373.3$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.32 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 361.42$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 8c | 338$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 314.91$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Boston Red Sox | 22c | 290.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 290$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.87 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 80c | 286.53$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 282.24$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.48 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 277.78$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 277.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 270$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 241.57$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Boston Red Sox | 16c | 241$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 229.95$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6c94backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 225$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.