Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa54a1b59dfc7dbd086084ec8482284753f018c7d47a85fd3fbcc181fc994fa37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Xtreme Gaming, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $471,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $471,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 37,904$11,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,762.23 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Xtreme Gaming | 7c | 23,160$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.1 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 20,889$5,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,560.69 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 15,000$5,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,682.52 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 12,000$8,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.97 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 70c | 11,500$8,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.71 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Falcons | 73c | 11,265$8,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.18 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 69c | 10,734$7,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.4 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 10,602$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,426.66 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 66c | 10,300$6,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.86 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 9,697$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.29 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 7,949$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.04 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Falcons | 68c | 7,912$5,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.08 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Falcons | 65c | 7,369$4,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.98 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 6,662$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.23 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 5,507$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.72 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 4,817$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.49 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 4,515$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 73c | 4,315$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.54 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Falcons | 69c | 4,000$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 3,925$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.86 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 3,805$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.36 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 6c | 3,804$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.08 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Team Falcons | 62c | 3,774$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.95 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 3,581$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.96 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Team Falcons | 64c | 3,543$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.8 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Team Falcons | 56c | 3,439$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.99 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed Team Falcons | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 3,107$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.54 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Team Falcons | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.2 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 72c | 2,953$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.74 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 2,916$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 67c | 2,750$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.5 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 2,700$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.2 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 2,700$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 2,562$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.15 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 2,523$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.61 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 2,500$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Team Falcons | 71c | 2,396$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.52 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 2,328$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.53 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 59c | 2,316$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.17 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Team Falcons | 71c | 2,293$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.13 | 252 | 59.1%149 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Team Falcons | 64c | 2,074$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.91 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 2,050$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.69 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 68c | 1,963$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.28 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Team Falcons | 67c | 1,920$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.59 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 1,920$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.1 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 1,821$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.09 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.63 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…a9aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 1,798$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 1,750$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 1,750$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.49 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,725$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.25 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 1,693$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.54 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Team Falcons | 71c | 1,658$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.3 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 1,620$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 1,581$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.55 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 1,575$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.25 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,472$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.24 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…cb74backed Team Falcons | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 1,354$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.36 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 1,251$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.3 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 1,250$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 1,225$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 1,157$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.71 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,146$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.53 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 1,137$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.63 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,117$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.16 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 1,107$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.93 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 1,101$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.09 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Xtreme Gaming | 3c | 1,100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e0…6ec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 1,065$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 1,040$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.62 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,007$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.92 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Falcons | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 1,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,000$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.93 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Team Falcons | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…9884backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 993.32$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.24 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Xtreme Gaming | 10c | 990.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 259 | 48.3%125 W · 134 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 947.6$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.24 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…8aa2backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 918.8$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 892.34$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.39 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Falcons | 65c | 850$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 849.33$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Falcons | 73c | 837.19$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.14 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 834$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.52 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Falcons | 68c | 831.24$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 824.06$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 800$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Falcons | 70c | 766.7$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.25 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 764.92$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.05 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Falcons | 58c | 749.98$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…c44ebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 748.1$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.39 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…0c98backed Team Falcons | 70c | 747.14$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.14 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Team Falcons | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 739.15$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.35 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Falcons | 68c | 719.99$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.85 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.