Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fa0a275f71492a610a982629612535048c6734644d54aa3ee1be419fb1aab36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Xtreme Gaming, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $294,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 95,688$19,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,860.27 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 74c | 41,545$30,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,849.58 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 10,274$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.57 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Team Falcons | 70c | 6,719$4,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.44 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Falcons | 67c | 5,611$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.32 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 5,147$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.57 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 3,900$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.63 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 3,458$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons | 69c | 2,915$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.75 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 71c | 2,820$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.79 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 7c | 2,776$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.91 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 2,435$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.37 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 2,184$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.28 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 2,176$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.16 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 1,851$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.86 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 1,750$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.5 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e0…6ec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 1,681$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.17 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Team Falcons | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.99 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 1,487$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.04 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,467$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons | 76c | 1,405$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.63 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 1,398$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.92 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…cb74backed Team Falcons | 74c | 1,347$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.72 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 1,313$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.53 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 1,226$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.49 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 1,196$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.23 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 1,175$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 1,171$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.17 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…72e7backed Team Falcons | 75c | 1,128$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.64 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,084$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.72 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Falcons | 74c | 1,046$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.13 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…516bbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.49 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,008$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.64 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Falcons | 73c | 934.63$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.42 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…4a0bbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 930$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.9 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2517…8359backed Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 911.9$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.41 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 879.91$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.4 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Falcons | 73c | 817.52$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.46 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 816.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.08 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked Team Falcons | 69c | 809.67$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 772.85$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.42 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Falcons | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Team Falcons | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 692.86$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 618.75$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Team Falcons | 70c | 565.64$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.69 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 555.85$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Xtreme Gaming | 16c | 554.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 544.78$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.09 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 524.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 524.02$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed Team Falcons | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Team Falcons | 70c | 500$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Falcons | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Team Falcons | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…737abacked Team Falcons | 74c | 472.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…4ca3backed Team Falcons | 67c | 467.91$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.41 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 452.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed Team Falcons | 75c | 451.55$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.25 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 443.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Team Falcons | 78c | 433.16$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Team Falcons | 69c | 431.88$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 415$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Falcons | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed Team Falcons | 78c | 384.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…32fdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 379.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Team Falcons | 69c | 366.18$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Team Falcons | 71c | 352.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 342.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…a02abacked Team Falcons | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cc…54bcbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Xtreme Gaming | 9c | 276.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Team Falcons | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 217.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 216.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Team Falcons | 70c | 212.64$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Team Falcons | 68c | 191.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Team Falcons | 78c | 183.33$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Falcons | 74c | 180$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5292…b3ecbacked Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 160.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 151.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.