Us Politics · resolved market
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd131137f1f93f7e2492083f3a27c68d4398da7c5025a035229cf6bb0384a9dbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9acd…7841backed Yes | 5c | 7,944$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.62 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 38c | 2,860$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b7…b59cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,551$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 65c | 1,401$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.74 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aeb…1ecbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…e774backed No | 77c | 1,145$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303f…5518backed No | 72c | 1,093$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…f92dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,066$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…0953backed No | 70c | 857.07$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc1…dfcdbacked No | 55c | 812.46$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 15c | 711.72$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.32per pick | 24cpaid | +320%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…2b86backed Yes | 11c | 702.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 696.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 33c | 647.28$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.19 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 32c | 642.9$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 66c | 606.48$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.57 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 32c | 596.48$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.4 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 19c | 534.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed No | 74c | 532.54$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…01abbacked No | 71c | 531.43$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 15c | 504.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc105…bb16backed Yes | 38c | 500$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…b577backed Yes | 29c | 488.15$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 68c | 486.67$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.04 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 61c | 484.11$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.76 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 3c | 480.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 24c | 475.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.65 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 467.72$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 31c | 450.21$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.76 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +346.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…2d89backed Yes | 24c | 450$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 40c | 447.17$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 58c | 434.09$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…2467backed No | 55c | 399.75$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Yes | 40c | 390$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked No | 56c | 380.65$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 7c | 380$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.4 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed Yes | 37c | 363.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…69d8backed No | 35c | 349.81$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…a457backed No | 67c | 317.96$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed No | 48c | 271.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.49 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde00…24a1backed No | 74c | 268.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 31c | 265.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +185%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked No | 16c | 260.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.13 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…ad3bbacked Yes | 27c | 260$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…723fbacked No | 22c | 258.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed No | 29c | 238.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.87 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 62c | 238.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 62c | 236.45$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 63c | 233.23$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…a2edbacked Yes | 27c | 225.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.43per pick | 21cpaid | +1,100.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf30e…84f1backed Yes | 50c | 209.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…4b54backed Yes | 39c | 206.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…a20dbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…6c5bbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb08…4342backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed No | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 6c | 192.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…55f8backed Yes | 27c | 184.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 54c | 184.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 42c | 180.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 8c | 177.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 7cpaid | +659%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Yes | 54c | 167.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 79c | 167.52$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962c…bcd6backed No | 75c | 166.37$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 16c | 166.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 45c | 166.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…1d41backed Yes | 30c | 164.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…bc10backed Yes | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Yes | 63c | 159.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 33c | 145$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb86…1dc5backed No | 70c | 142.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…d9febacked Yes | 14c | 139.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb331…61f7backed Yes | 44c | 135.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed No | 76c | 129.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…aceabacked Yes | 46c | 127.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…5073backed No | 73c | 122.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…2970backed No | 67c | 121.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 70c | 118.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0d…c7bebacked Yes | 38c | 114.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed No | 57c | 114.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…7975backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…b70dbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6abe…2205backed No | 45c | 110.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 49c | 110.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d78…6929backed Yes | 49c | 104.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 33c | 104.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…e6debacked Yes | 39c | 103.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…923dbacked Yes | 29c | 102.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Yes | 21c | 100.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757a…0e81backed Yes | 19c | 100.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…b18cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…7acdbacked Yes | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…bb3cbacked No | 71c | 99.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.