Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6e4777d0bf9164b51e3445e7939d69003822cb34e1b020fe13a8e0d51016c58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 42c | 10,918$4,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,376.3 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 7,951$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 76c | 3,831$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.31 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed No | 7c | 2,858$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 76c | 2,741$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.61 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 24c | 2,714$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.37 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 2,600$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.98 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0afc…e1e4backed No | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 21c | 2,459$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.35 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 19c | 2,248$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.74 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 76c | 2,157$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.49 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9978…a49ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,148$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 80c | 2,019$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.38 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…8433backed Yes | 21c | 1,910$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,851$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.99 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 70c | 1,729$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.57 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6db…b117backed Yes | 13c | 1,317$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +291.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,256$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.55 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…ce2fbacked No | 80c | 1,166$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 77c | 1,058$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.66 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…1fefbacked Yes | 23c | 1,003$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +255.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 73c | 931.36$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.45 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…58b2backed Yes | 30c | 917.88$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +228%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 29c | 786.26$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.57 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1770…b3d9backed Yes | 20c | 747.25$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 11cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 9c | 648.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.55 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 622.35$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.25 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…d710backed No | 75c | 612.94$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…d6ecbacked No | 79c | 600$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 78c | 600$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 17c | 578.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…23abbacked Yes | 33c | 570.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…b808backed No | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 26cpaid | +366.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 21c | 499.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533a…db4dbacked Yes | 13c | 498.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +283.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 21c | 480$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.2 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 20c | 468$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 29c | 402.14$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…d5a5backed Yes | 19c | 399.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 18c | 393.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.45 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked No | 3c | 375.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 71c | 346.2$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.09 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…0b32backed Yes | 32c | 311.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…7b42backed No | 77c | 309.74$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…9a1ebacked Yes | 31c | 309.52$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ae…672fbacked Yes | 34c | 293.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed No | 72c | 275.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 260.13$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.71 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc7…d48ebacked No | 77c | 249.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…7d81backed Yes | 28c | 248.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +252.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…e86cbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…5bf0backed No | 79c | 238.1$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 72c | 236.49$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.27 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 70c | 209.21$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.45 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…1cafbacked No | 69c | 204.08$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc1…13aabacked Yes | 25c | 202.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.30per pick | 23cpaid | +211.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6711…7d95backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62b4…5381backed Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 30c | 186.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.03 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d09…1decbacked Yes | 21c | 160$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 73c | 157.25$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 23c | 150.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.79 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…6043backed No | 74c | 145.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fda…59b3backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd15b…ce17backed No | 80c | 125.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 67cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…8211backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 76c | 110.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 126 | 31.7%40 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Yes | 18c | 110.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +307.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…3769backed No | 74c | 109.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 29c | 108.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906a…f4bbbacked Yes | 30c | 106.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 73c | 103.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044a…a5acbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…94aabacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…072ebacked Yes | 21c | 94.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…b15ebacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3264…db8abacked Yes | 27c | 91.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +265.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…6057backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9875…c12abacked Yes | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f30…f260backed Yes | 31c | 81.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…34f5backed Yes | 30c | 79.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a5…92e0backed Yes | 29c | 78.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…65cdbacked Yes | 28c | 78.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +216.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 27c | 75.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8600…ff1dbacked Yes | 23c | 74.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…ce5dbacked No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…c081backed Yes | 23c | 74.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +179.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…d7a9backed No | 75c | 72.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…3b90backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…5390backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked No | 78c | 53.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -6.3wins | -0.37per pick | 73cpaid | -53%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2748…6a07backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.