TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,175 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes20c1,288$257 inLost-$257.225042%21 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes4c547.59$20 inLost-$20.151428.5%12 W · 130 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c508.08$23 inLost-$22.821,1366.3%72 W · 1,064 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-55.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes12c400$47 inLost-$47.23935.9%14 W · 25 L+9.5wins+0.24per pick12cpaid+185%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes4c333.8$13 inLost-$13.082157.1%12 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+72.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes4c253.03$11 inLost-$11.0312630.2%38 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+105.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908e…2291backed Yes26c190.65$50 inLost-$50119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-83.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Yes31c160.63$50 inLost-$502133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c27…0a7dbacked Yes9c138.83$13 inLost-$12.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7824…de61backed Yes19c100$19 inLost-$18.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43c4…ea38backed No70c100$70 inWon+$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes30c98.52$30 inLost-$29.561957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes11c90$10 inLost-$10.0296319.8%191 W · 772 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked Yes13c84.7$11 inLost-$11.213056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes14c73.75$10 inLost-$10.4333618.5%62 W · 274 L-46.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-60%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf3fc…1e14backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost-$204837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45cc…6400backed No69c56$39 inWon+$17.369958.6%58 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4de…424cbacked Yes38c52.69$20 inLost-$2060%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No74c44.72$33 inWon+$11.756756.7%38 W · 29 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x59cd…716fbacked Yes35c34.13$12 inLost-$11.812740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5df…2400backed No75c32$24 inWon+$8450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe068…c5eabacked No62c19.41$12 inWon+$7.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No71c17.02$12 inWon+$5.0236527.1%99 W · 266 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.