Us Politics · resolved market
Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d5fa6db264ac92e573ea7066280ab7794819a257320a02286bc2f92fe943230
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x395d…21ebbacked No | 1c | 15,231$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 2c | 8,206$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,522$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.58 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1e…f988backed Yes | 8c | 1,329$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 12cpaid | +324.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 21c | 1,267$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.21 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 9c | 1,193$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.49 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…c4f6backed No | 79c | 1,005$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +346.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 20c | 924.16$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.33 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed No | 5c | 791.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 79c | 783.25$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.34 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…23f7backed Yes | 6c | 738.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +724.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes | 7c | 700$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +486.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 16c | 688.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.25 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…01fdbacked No | 80c | 565.84$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed Yes | 6c | 552.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 12c | 550$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 6c | 549.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.63 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 6c | 515.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.36 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0b…6465backed Yes | 8c | 504.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,160.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 484.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.59 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Yes | 21c | 483.68$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 8c | 467.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.93 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 12c | 400$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.2 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 7c | 377.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.37 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 338.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.39 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5967…750dbacked Yes | 15c | 325.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +550.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 18c | 312.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.9 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…f710backed Yes | 67c | 300.15$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b3…c5eabacked No | 77c | 300$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bf…e557backed Yes | 6c | 286.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +429.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 71c | 279.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…b808backed Yes | 9c | 277.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 26cpaid | +366.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96ba…9209backed Yes | 6c | 231.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c3…f47abacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…2467backed Yes | 31c | 218$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.42 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…25c1backed Yes | 11c | 208.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +209.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 23c | 204.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.41 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 77c | 201.2$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…409cbacked No | 77c | 200$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 26c | 187.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.12 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…a5b9backed Yes | 27c | 179.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +195.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…c236backed Yes | 24c | 164.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +225.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba6…58b6backed Yes | 13c | 151$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +651.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 34c | 147.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb7…1429backed Yes | 10c | 134.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.40per pick | 37cpaid | +217.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 9c | 127.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…46d4backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…af35backed Yes | 16c | 119.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…be20backed Yes | 18c | 112.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +303.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…68a9backed Yes | 10c | 112.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 18cpaid | +201%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 27c | 109.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce4…36a6backed No | 73c | 103.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4912backed Yes | 20c | 101.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +207.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4088…44f1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…e22fbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.55per pick | 25cpaid | +272.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe613…540ebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 80c | 96.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1b…9397backed Yes | 16c | 88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d21…0bb3backed Yes | 18c | 86.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +179.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf127…0c30backed Yes | 23c | 85.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 23c | 80.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…595cbacked No | 79c | 78.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 73c | 72.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 62c | 72.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Yes | 28c | 71.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b4…6f14backed Yes | 31c | 65.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -36%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf7…3033backed Yes | 33c | 60.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 25c | 59.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7f…eed7backed Yes | 35c | 56.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf349…9d76backed Yes | 37c | 53.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 75c | 51.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…bad4backed Yes | 30c | 50.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +338.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…5799backed No | 78c | 47.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4044…8de5backed Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a55…dde6backed Yes | 35c | 42.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…64d1backed Yes | 27c | 42.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 80c | 41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 67c | 37.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 72c | 33.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 79c | 28.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b8…ff77backed No | 78c | 25.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa014…3dc4backed No | 79c | 25.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…7137backed No | 80c | 25.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…710cbacked No | 66c | 21.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 56c | 20.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…b7b6backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…df43backed No | 72c | 15.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.