Us Politics · resolved market
Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc07e03addcba3dd871c6851374252fc61b93ea818831a564dd3d8bde8da5b0af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed No | 6c | 4,194$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed Yes | 75c | 2,241$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.37 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 3c | 1,150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 2c | 934.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…a457backed No | 21c | 739.21$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…6c7cbacked No | 26c | 516.78$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.54 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 5c | 500.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed No | 6c | 480$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 15c | 430$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.5 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 7c | 415.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 15c | 405.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…a2edbacked Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.43per pick | 21cpaid | +1,100.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 379.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…4cd0backed Yes | 31c | 320.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 74c | 295.65$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad7…03d8backed Yes | 13c | 273.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 19c | 257.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.29 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.08 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed No | 80c | 233.83$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.95 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…7d8dbacked No | 5c | 219.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 11c | 211.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…2467backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…b395backed No | 80c | 184.04$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.75 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 36c | 181.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 30c | 178.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…d0a5backed No | 55c | 162.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…2b86backed Yes | 28c | 144.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829d…dffdbacked Yes | 16c | 109.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…5bd9backed Yes | 27c | 100.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…f710backed Yes | 42c | 85.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 38c | 78.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…df43backed No | 74c | 77.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…bf2dbacked Yes | 30c | 69.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 18cpaid | +1,617.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…68a9backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 18cpaid | +201%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 25c | 50.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 27c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 35c | 36.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed No | 74c | 26.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…0b69backed No | 74c | 26.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…8d0ebacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +16.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.