Us Politics · resolved market

Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac7f91e9f5b7dd5839521720553880636c7f40b33bfb4c7a5a0489ff1df6e1af

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 22, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $65,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $70,459

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,858 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x889e…09e0backed No	5c	15,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	107	49.5%53 W · 54 L	+10.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	38c	3,639$1,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,257.26	130	29.2%38 W · 92 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed No	61c	3,318$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,039.89	192	36.5%70 W · 122 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed No	67c	3,005$2,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,011.06	100	55%55 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed No	5c	2,400$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+96.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No	20c	2,265$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.95	412	38.8%160 W · 252 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	70c	1,872$1,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,305.49	696	34.9%243 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5912…5b0fbacked Yes	43c	1,501$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$852.85	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed No	5c	1,400$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	111	21.6%24 W · 87 L	+11.4wins	+0.10per pick	11cpaid	+179.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed No	50c	1,008$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.9	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed No	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	114	19.3%22 W · 92 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	65c	932.91$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.78	996	29.5%294 W · 702 L	-73.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa60e…d332backed Yes	25c	800$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.15per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed No	21c	666$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.86	111	20.7%23 W · 88 L	+10.9wins	+0.10per pick	11cpaid	+212.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed No	76c	543.54$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.37	355	19.7%70 W · 285 L	-16.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes	71c	526.53$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.93	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	54c	460.04$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.66	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	-15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x516d…03e5backed Yes	45c	399.63$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.8	152	38.8%59 W · 93 L	-13.5wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked No	62c	360.11$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.46	84	44%37 W · 47 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c3…1fefbacked Yes	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.8wins	+0.69per pick	31cpaid	+255.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3421…5cafbacked No	58c	243.59$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.48	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…bc52backed Yes	50c	233.04$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.62	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+77%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f7…2501backed No	60c	230$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-5.8wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-23%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked No	74c	222$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.28	113	36.3%41 W · 72 L	-8.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	42c	215.89$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.44	125	33.6%42 W · 83 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	63c	208.84$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.47	377	40.6%153 W · 224 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Yes	31c	204.58$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.4	150	32.7%49 W · 101 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c27…1555backed No	64c	170.16$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.9	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-6.4wins	-0.24per pick	67cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	69c	166.57$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.31	1,073	35.5%381 W · 692 L	-70.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed No	64c	162.85$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.75	375	33.3%125 W · 250 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2be…66b0backed No	60c	160$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.88	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No	69c	158.71$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.01	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	+8.6wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+141.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No	66c	153$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.77	82	29.3%24 W · 58 L	-11.1wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	29c	148.05$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.56	193	28.5%55 W · 138 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…45cdbacked Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.86	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No	78c	127$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.09	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a49…7447backed No	64c	120.8$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.98	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6dd…4b9fbacked No	15c	108.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+2.9wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1633…190cbacked No	73c	100$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x270a…7b78backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0694…2542backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	11cpaid	+156.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x338e…3267backed No	63c	93.11$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.66	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a2…57febacked No	51c	90.55$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.18	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+7.1wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+19%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed No	74c	87$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.38	115	41.7%48 W · 67 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1955…aef1backed Yes	16c	82.5$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.3	165	44.8%74 W · 91 L	+10.9wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e27…7ae6backed Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.43	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e69…a06cbacked Yes	27c	63.93$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.67	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9afd…3028backed No	22c	60.11$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.42	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5838…3636backed No	73c	59.49$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.43	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a8…34f5backed Yes	47c	58.18$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.98	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.31per pick	29cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc6c…33ebbacked Yes	45c	57.78$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.78	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	26cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f50…1fb6backed No	65c	56.39$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.91	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c9…22d8backed Yes	54c	53.83$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.76	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…fcb9backed Yes	28c	53.57$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.57	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.63per pick	37cpaid	+397.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6ec…1dadbacked No	56c	52.17$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.05	59	61%36 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No	48c	51.83$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.06	365	27.1%99 W · 266 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x602d…5116backed Yes	39c	51.28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf7a…731cbacked Yes	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c03…12b2backed Yes	43c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.6	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6518…f798backed Yes	27c	50$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.5	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes	41c	48.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.78	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x461d…c081backed Yes	33c	48.48$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.48	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+3.5wins	+0.43per pick	32cpaid	+179.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcebd…3769backed No	57c	46.87$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.65	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	67cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2eb4…d58ebacked Yes	43c	46.51$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.51	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	19cpaid	+63.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	25c	44.63$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.47	963	19.8%191 W · 772 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x912a…0f92backed Yes	40c	44.35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	185	16.2%30 W · 155 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed No	57c	44.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.25	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd15b…ce17backed No	68c	44.12$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	67cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fc1…13aabacked Yes	49c	42$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.42	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+4.0wins	+0.30per pick	23cpaid	+211.8%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes	25c	40$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	333	13.2%44 W · 289 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No	66c	37.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	126	31.7%40 W · 86 L	-8.7wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x814d…b889backed Yes	55c	36.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+136.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd45…aaf5backed No	57c	35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-4.3wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7bbe…0d3abacked No	57c	34.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-63%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No	60c	34.08$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.54	336	27.4%92 W · 244 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed No	62c	32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.69	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-18%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a71…0f0fbacked Yes	45c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2777…d690backed No	64c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x278f…715fbacked No	67c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3697backed No	63c	29.21$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4de9backed Yes	43c	27.86$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.86	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.68per pick	32cpaid	+254.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6df…baa2backed No	73c	27.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-4.4wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa6f…7e67backed No	66c	26$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	68c	23.05$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	252	41.7%105 W · 147 L	-17.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96e0…b648backed No	52c	20.83$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x351c…9470backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+175.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3152…6e69backed No	73c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20c6…a830backed No	74c	17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.58	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a30…782ebacked No	76c	14.54$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.5wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event