TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,145
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,145 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9acd…7841backed Yes12c3,027$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.05140%0 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes50c2,643$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.915042%21 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed No63c2,596$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.1819236.5%70 W · 122 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf243…5fb4backed Yes78c1,427$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.911050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes19c1,108$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.751,1366.3%72 W · 1,064 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-55.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e31…454dbacked No60c938.7$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.043650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3999…90cfbacked Yes47c902.33$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df4…f92dbacked Yes50c839.78$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3fc…1e14backed No28c806.07$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.664837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed Yes9c500$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4518725.1%47 W · 140 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1551…2b86backed Yes8c497.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401030%3 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908e…2291backed Yes41c486.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-83.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad4e…12f1backed No65c480.9$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1691275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc3d…2467backed No70c441.98$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.141866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbad7…03d8backed Yes16c439.77$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.88450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+220.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b46…0953backed No73c411.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.933100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked Yes8c389.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.641346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+67.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec85…8ba8backed Yes40c374.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.372433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c87…e955backed Yes8c355$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f9…e1c7backed No29c340.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.512744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Yes11c329.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.852556%14 W · 11 L+7.9wins+0.32per pick24cpaid+320%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xee8b…6436backed No32c303.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.181346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04e8…a0bfbacked No77c300$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes48c290.91$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6233618.5%62 W · 274 L-46.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-60%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x32ee…3d48backed No59c283.88$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick39cpaid+468.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Yes36c264.81$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.584266.7%28 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked No79c263.19$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.064634.8%16 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes15c251.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.64827.3%6 W · 76 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes39c243.44$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6618425%46 W · 138 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x852c…2453backed Yes10c233.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.42922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+309.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes25c226.31$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1720446.6%95 W · 109 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa003…ebefbacked No80c225.81$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.29757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cdc…ae37backed Yes9c224.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202516%4 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid+15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed No71c223.31$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.312133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Yes36c222.16$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.63540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed No65c217.81$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.232951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x666b…a20dbacked Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2914528.3%41 W · 104 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x303f…5518backed No52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc105…bb16backed Yes34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-61.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x773b…5e93backed No62c188.24$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf936…0b6fbacked No53c186.73$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes11c173.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.592222.7%5 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick7cpaid+659%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8456…01abbacked No72c170.24$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked No59c169.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6614125.5%36 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed No60c166.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31cf…4cd0backed Yes62c162.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes9c157.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.744850%24 W · 24 L+9.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+346.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No54c145.11$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.914935.6%53 W · 96 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ad…8a12backed Yes9c143.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe598…a0a8backed No62c142.13$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.43663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2457…b193backed Yes32c140.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.99110%0 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83ff…86b2backed Yes43c138.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca99…d9e7backed No73c135.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab72…b70dbacked Yes11c135$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick19cpaid+155.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2544…6221backed Yes12c129.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9f…35e5backed No79c125.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes16c123$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2490%0 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes19c119.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9396319.8%191 W · 772 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6abe…2205backed No45c111.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.87633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…be20backed Yes27c107.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.442250%11 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+303.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed No11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid+18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe26b…bee7backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x757a…0e81backed Yes23c99.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2380%0 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes30c98.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.395834.5%20 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4de…424cbacked Yes31c97.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed No75c93.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.842759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca4…923dbacked Yes30c92.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-44%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes19c90.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.444027.5%11 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d78…6929backed Yes34c86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d9a…7991backed Yes18c85.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.311266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+57.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4657…a752backed No74c81.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…5e40backed Yes25c81.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…0693backed Yes41c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.481921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid+25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b06…9076backed No49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.523540%14 W · 21 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5305…b518backed Yes49c79.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03d0…d647backed Yes36c77.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.592231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No38c74.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8433627.4%92 W · 244 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes21c73.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.76736.8%5 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fd8…372bbacked No78c73.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.911258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No63c68.41$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.576756.7%38 W · 29 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Yes38c66.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.141118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-74.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed No80c64.35$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e6c…a53dbacked Yes23c63.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-79.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5202…7975backed Yes36c55.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc59d…f14abacked Yes22c54.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde00…24a1backed No79c54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.331154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7525…5d8ebacked Yes28c52.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c84…7e97backed No61c51.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a2…7b65backed Yes55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.551216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-75.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2ee…0ae8backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick41cpaid+156.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9445…9ce6backed Yes30c46.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid+152.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes32c45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.263969.2%27 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5e3…b2dfbacked Yes42c43.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x103f…b237backed Yes33c40.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e71…ac68backed Yes50c40.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d86…5073backed No78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.762835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3475…eea8backed No56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63141.9%13 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59cd…716fbacked Yes30c36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b77…18d0backed No55c35.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.