Us Politics · resolved market
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88cb3c3f8cb2983fe1b59c5a43be62f7096b3d02ac70a27b2eaaf2c4ab33f300
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $393,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 21c | 31,137$6,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,707.22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 15c | 24,013$3,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,491.5 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 14c | 22,561$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,392.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 9c | 11,033$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000.12 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +185%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed No | 76c | 10,717$8,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,172.45 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed No | 0c | 9,622$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 14c | 8,641$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,463.74 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 19c | 8,402$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,811.47 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…02b6backed No | 72c | 7,139$5,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,153.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 22c | 6,396$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.62 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 1c | 4,639$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…2400backed Yes | 29c | 4,155$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 20c | 3,531$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.57 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +346.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 52c | 3,206$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 19c | 3,074$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.23 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Yes | 19c | 3,025$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 38c | 3,003$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.15 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 17c | 2,727$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.56 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…fd8dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,636$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 17cpaid | +237.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1e…f988backed Yes | 36c | 2,395$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 12cpaid | +324.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 10c | 2,357$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.06 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 2,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.53 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…c4f6backed No | 70c | 1,797$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 19c | 1,752$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.31 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…61fdbacked No | 75c | 1,714$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 18c | 1,704$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.27 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…2467backed Yes | 58c | 1,686$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 80c | 1,500$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…ae31backed No | 53c | 1,478$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…0ebebacked No | 69c | 1,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…ec41backed Yes | 29c | 1,300$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 22c | 1,279$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.83 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 77c | 1,278$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.97 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…afc8backed No | 72c | 1,271$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…69d8backed No | 28c | 1,260$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 9c | 1,220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Yes | 14c | 1,183$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +604.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 8c | 1,121$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.15 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 76c | 1,110$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.09 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Yes | 15c | 1,044$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…b460backed Yes | 22c | 1,022$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675a…3fbfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,018$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…27f5backed No | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3acd…5cd0backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…e33fbacked Yes | 50c | 959.49$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…1320backed Yes | 20c | 884.25$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +411.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 863.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.79 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 71c | 851$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.03 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 31c | 845.27$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.54 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 12c | 799.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…cd63backed Yes | 18c | 793.81$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +280.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 5c | 787.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 70c | 757.38$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 12c | 745.05$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.22 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…d67bbacked Yes | 14c | 702.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +310.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Yes | 13c | 690.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +659.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 71c | 680$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…0c2fbacked Yes | 78c | 677.01$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…bf0abacked No | 64c | 674.1$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed Yes | 19c | 664.29$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.57 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…a437backed No | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…cc23backed Yes | 9c | 633$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…d6aebacked Yes | 9c | 623$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +979.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 22c | 618.39$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.15 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 21c | 590$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.32 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…bee7backed Yes | 13c | 582.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3adb…aca8backed Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +458.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 76c | 562.31$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.3 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 17c | 561.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.94 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001e…b3afbacked No | 73c | 555.18$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…ba36backed Yes | 18c | 546.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +334.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 11c | 541.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.64 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 30c | 531.94$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.58 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 30c | 525.86$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.55 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…4d1fbacked No | 63c | 519.64$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.03 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 510.43$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.99 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 21c | 485.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 32c | 477.51$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 68c | 472.16$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.86 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 25c | 466.69$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.37 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 34c | 454.31$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.08 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94c8…90f5backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.54per pick | 21cpaid | +321.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 38c | 438.44$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.04 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 46c | 427.89$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.43 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed No | 34c | 422.21$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 20c | 420$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.86 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0404…8353backed No | 74c | 410$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b3…c5eabacked No | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…7ad0backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +159%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 25c | 399.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.23 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…a457backed No | 66c | 388.09$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6abe…2205backed No | 52c | 374.49$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…812dbacked No | 61c | 365.32$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +340%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 24c | 363.07$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.67 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…dc27backed No | 76c | 340.91$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1740…3efebacked No | 73c | 338.11$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f18…6ae5backed Yes | 9c | 334.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.